Torreense
vs
Sunderland
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sunderland
1 – 2 Predicted score · 7% model probability
Torreense vs Sunderland overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Torreense vs Sunderland
| Probability | Torreense | Draw | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.6% | 27.2% | 28.1% |
| Market | 13.7% | 18.8% | 67.5% |
| Final | 21.4% | 20.9% | 57.7% |
| Edge | +30.9% | +8.4% | -39.4% |
Why Sunderland
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.43, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Torreense vs Sunderland match preview
Torreense faces Sunderland in the UEFA Europa League with a predicted probability of 21% for a Torreense win, 21% for a draw, and 58% for a Sunderland victory. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 7%. The expectation for over 2.5 goals stands at 53%, while the likelihood of both teams scoring is at 57%.
In terms of expected goals, Torreense is forecasted to achieve 1.58, compared to Sunderland's 1.21. Recent form shows Torreense with a record of W-D-W-L-D-D, while Sunderland has performed better with L-W-L-W-D-W. The confidence grade for this match is B, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Torreense and Sunderland expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.79
Torreense and Sunderland attack and defence ratings
Torreense
Sunderland
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Red Bull Salzburg v AC Milan — match page
- Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom — team news & stats
- Union St. Gilloise v Real Sociedad — match page
- Celje vs Omonia Nicosia — team news & stats
- Bournemouth v Sturm Graz — match page
Before and after this match
Torreense vs Sunderland markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sunderland | 57.7% | 1.73 | -39.4% | 1.43 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Torreense | 21.4% |
| Draw | 20.9% | |
| Sunderland | 57.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.9% |
| No | 43.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 42.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sunderland win | 12.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.1% | |
| Loss | 71.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-0 | 8.5% |
Torreense vs Sunderland stats
Torreense and Sunderland recent form
| Torreense |
WDWLDD |
| Sunderland |
LWLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Torreense vs Sunderland head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Torreense vs Sunderland odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 13.7%, draw 18.8%, away 67.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.20 | 5.17 | 1.43 |
| Bet365 | 6.50 | 5.00 | 1.38 |
| BetVictor | 7.00 | 4.80 | 1.36 |
| Betano | 6.80 | 5.10 | 1.42 |
| Betfair | 7.00 | 5.00 | 1.33 |
| Dafabet | 7.00 | 5.20 | 1.40 |
| Marathonbet | 7.10 | 5.10 | 1.41 |
| Pinnacle | 6.78 | 5.05 | 1.40 |
| SBO | 5.51 | 4.24 | 1.37 |
| William Hill | 6.50 | 4.60 | 1.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .