UEFA Europa League · Full time ·League Stage - 2

Torreense vs Sunderland

1 – 2 Full time

37′Volnei Feltes
43′Jonathan Mutombo Mawesi
45′Trai Hume
58′Malick FofanaEnzo Le Fée
58′Nilson AnguloGranit Xhaka
59′Trai HumeNordi Mukiele
59′Dayann MethalieReinildo Isnard Mandava
63′Manuel PozoIanique Tavares Stopira
63′Jonathan Mutombo MawesiDavid Bruno
67′Jules Ahoka
73′João MarquesDany Jean
74′Karem ZoabiL. Quintero
79′Enzo Le Fée
85′Nordi Mukiele
90′Malik Abubakarimusa drammeh
90′Noah Sadiki

Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, LeiriaReferee: Enea Jorgji

Torreense 18%
Draw 20%
Sunderland 62%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

3 Shots 22
1 Shots on target 5
39 Possession % 61
2 Corners 9
13 Fouls 19
2 Offsides 1
3 Saves 0
213 Accurate passes 363

Torreense vs Sunderland overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Torreense vs Sunderland

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTorreenseDrawSunderland
Model42.6%28.6%28.8%
Market9.9%17.1%73.0%
Final18.1%19.9%62.0%
Edge+8.2%+2.9%-11.1%

Confidence: Medium · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Torreense ↓ / Sunderland → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 7% 1 10% 14% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Torreense and Sunderland expected goals

Torreense 1.44
Sunderland 1.15

Total expected goals: 2.59

Torreense and Sunderland attack and defence ratings

Torreense

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Sunderland

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Torreense vs Sunderland: result vs prediction

Torreense 1 – 2 Sunderland

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

UEFA Europa League

Before and after this match

Torreense vs Sunderland markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sunderland 62.0% 1.61 -11.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.1% 1.92 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.3% 1.87 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 81.9% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 71.2% 1.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Torreense18.1%
Draw19.9%
Sunderland62.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.9%
Under 2.552.1%
Both teams to scoreYes53.3%
No46.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)38.0%
12 (either side)80.1%
X2 (draw or away)81.9%
Handicap -1Sunderland win12.0%
Push (exactly one goal)16.8%
Loss71.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.7%
1-09.6%
2-19.0%

Torreense vs Sunderland stats

Torreense and Sunderland recent form

newest first
Torreense LWDWLD
Sunderland LLWLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Torreense vs Sunderland head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Torreense vs Sunderland odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 9.9%, draw 17.1%, away 73.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 9.90 5.62 1.33
Bet365 9.00 5.75 1.30
BetVictor 10.00 5.25 1.29
Betano 10.00 5.80 1.33
Betfair 9.50 5.50 1.29
Dafabet 9.40 5.80 1.32
Marathonbet 9.80 5.55 1.31
Pinnacle 9.72 5.84 1.31
SBO 8.49 5.22 1.30
William Hill 8.50 5.00 1.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 9.61 ▲ +2.71
X 5.58 ▲ +0.56
2 1.31 ▼ -0.09

14 snapshots recorded, from .