AZ Alkmaar
vs
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2 – 1 Full time
| 39′ | Pedro Miguel Santos Amador | ||
| 45′ | Seiya Maikuma | ||
| 49′ | Peer Koopmeiners | ||
| 52′ | Eilel Peretz | ||
| 52′ | Ayoub Oufkir | ||
| 53′ | Idan NachmiasMiguel Vitor | ||
| 55′ | Forson Amankwah | ||
| 61′ | Seiya MaikumaDenso Kasius | ||
| 61′ | Ayoub OufkirCalvin Stengs | ||
| 62′ | Mohamad Abu RumiJavon East | ||
| 62′ | Eilel PeretzNiv·Yehoshua | ||
| 76′ | Djibril diop | ||
| 76′ | Bendegúz KovácsMexx Meerdink | ||
| 76′ | Mees de WitMateo Chávez | ||
| 77′ | Mexx Meerdink | ||
| 78′ | zahi ahmedJoão Victor | ||
| 78′ | Igor ZlatanovićAdrián Ugarriza | ||
| 78′ | Calvin Stengs | ||
| 83′ | Denso Kasius | ||
| 86′ | Ro Zangelo DaalWeslley Pinto Batista | ||
| 90′ | Adrián Ugarriza |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 499 | Accurate passes | 311 |
AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
| Probability | AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.2% | 25.6% | 24.2% |
| Market | 71.1% | 17.2% | 11.7% |
| Final | 65.9% | 19.3% | 14.8% |
| Edge | -5.2% | +2.1% | +3.1% |
Why AZ Alkmaar
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 1.17.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AZ Alkmaar and Hapoel Beer Sheva expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.94
AZ Alkmaar and Hapoel Beer Sheva attack and defence ratings
AZ Alkmaar
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: result vs prediction
AZ Alkmaar 2 – 1 Hapoel Beer Sheva
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
- Lyon vs Crystal Palace
- Lech Poznan v Bayer Leverkusen — match page
- Red Bull Salzburg v AC Milan — match page
- Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom — team news & stats
- Union St. Gilloise v Real Sociedad — match page
- Celje vs Omonia Nicosia — team news & stats
- Torreense vs Sunderland — team news & stats
- Bournemouth v Sturm Graz — match page
Before and after this match
AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AZ Alkmaar | 65.9% | 1.52 | -5.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AZ Alkmaar | 65.9% |
| Draw | 19.3% | |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 14.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% |
| No | 41.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | AZ Alkmaar win | 28.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 49.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 8.3% |
AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva stats
AZ Alkmaar and Hapoel Beer Sheva recent form
| AZ Alkmaar |
LWLDWW |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva |
WWDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.1%, draw 17.2%, away 11.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.35 | 5.63 | 8.90 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 5.50 | 8.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 5.50 | 8.50 |
| Betano | 1.37 | 5.70 | 8.25 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 5.50 | 8.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.37 | 5.60 | 7.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.33 | 5.55 | 8.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35 | 5.65 | 8.16 |
| SBO | 1.34 | 5.22 | 6.95 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .