Feyenoord
vs
AZ Alkmaar
2 – 0 Full time
| 11′ | Lewis Schouten | ||
| 13′ | Nacho Ferri | ||
| 23′ | Ro Zangelo Daal | ||
| 45′ | Oussama Targhalline | ||
| 59′ | Javi López | ||
| 67′ | Wouter Goes | ||
| 68′ | Ro Zangelo DaalWeslley Pinto Batista | ||
| 68′ | Elijah DijkstraDenso Kasius | ||
| 77′ | Gjivai ZechielTobias van den Elshout | ||
| 80′ | Jordy ClasieBendegúz Kovács | ||
| 89′ | Nacho FerriGaoussou Kyassou Diarra |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 298 | Accurate passes | 419 |
Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar
| Probability | Feyenoord | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.6% | 23.0% | 26.4% |
| Market | 54.9% | 22.9% | 22.2% |
| Final | 53.8% | 22.9% | 23.3% |
| Edge | -1.1% | +0.0% | +1.1% |
Why Feyenoord
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 1.47.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Feyenoord and AZ Alkmaar expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.53
Feyenoord and AZ Alkmaar attack and defence ratings
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar: result vs prediction
Feyenoord 2 – 0 AZ Alkmaar
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Feyenoord | 53.8% | 1.86 | -1.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Feyenoord | 53.8% |
| Draw | 22.9% | |
| AZ Alkmaar | 23.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.1% |
| No | 31.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Feyenoord win | 30.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 49.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 2-2 | 6.7% |
Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar stats
Feyenoord and AZ Alkmaar recent form
| Feyenoord |
WWLWDW |
| AZ Alkmaar |
WLDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Feyenoord and AZ Alkmaar going into this match
Feyenoord record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 3.6 goals per match.
- They average 4.0 goals per game on the road against 3.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
AZ Alkmaar record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 2.2 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Feyenoord | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-21 | AZ Alkmaar | Feyenoord | Eredivisie | 3-3 |
| 2025-04-05 | AZ Alkmaar | Feyenoord | Eredivisie | 0-1 |
| 2024-11-02 | Feyenoord | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | 3-2 |
| 2024-02-07 | Feyenoord | AZ Alkmaar | KNVB Beker | 2-0 |
| 2024-02-04 | AZ Alkmaar | Feyenoord | Eredivisie | 0-1 |
| 2023-11-12 | Feyenoord | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | 1-0 |
| 2023-02-18 | Feyenoord | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | 2-1 |
| 2022-10-16 | AZ Alkmaar | Feyenoord | Eredivisie | 1-3 |
| 2022-02-27 | AZ Alkmaar | Feyenoord | Eredivisie | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.9%, draw 22.9%, away 22.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.75 | 4.12 | 4.38 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 4.20 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 4.40 | 4.70 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.73 | 4.30 | 4.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76 | 4.10 | 4.48 |
| SBO | 1.69 | 3.96 | 3.82 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
46 snapshots recorded, from .