Eredivisie · 2026-10-11T12:30:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 8

PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur

0 – 1 Full time

39′			Sherel Floranus
39′			Devid Eugene Bouah
45′			Fabian KvamJason Ceka
45′			Ethan ApkakouNicolas Binder
52′			Ibrahim Cissoko
56′			Jason Ceka
60′			Ibrahim CissokoElias Sörensen
60′			Koen KostonsSydney van Hooijdonk
67′			Mathieu MaertensSami Bouhoudane
73′			Morgan Costarelli
74′			Devid Eugene BouahJamal Amofa
78′			Thijs OostingGilles Van Der Wal
78′			Dylan MbayoGabriel Reiziger
79′			Jamal AmofaRik Mulders
83′			Nicolas Binder
86′			Gabriel Reiziger
87′			Sherel FloranusDamian van der Haar

MAC³PARK Stadion, ZwolleReferee: Sander van der Eijk

PEC Zwolle

41%

Draw

24%

Cambuur

35%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

15	Shots	13
6	Shots on target	4
46	Possession %	54
5	Corners	5
16	Fouls	15
1	Offsides	4
3	Saves	6
262	Accurate passes	345

PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur overview

Garuda Lions analysis: PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	PEC Zwolle	Draw	Cambuur
Model	25.3%	21.9%	52.8%
Market	45.9%	25.0%	29.1%
Final	40.7%	24.2%	35.0%
Edge	-5.2%	-0.8%	+5.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

97%

2+ goals

89%

3+ goals

72%

No goals

PEC Zwolle and Cambuur expected goals

PEC Zwolle

1.52

Cambuur

2.22

Total expected goals: 3.73

PEC Zwolle and Cambuur attack and defence ratings

PEC Zwolle

Attack

0.67 -33%

Defence

1.56 +56%

Cambuur

Attack

0.95 -5%

Defence

1.27 +27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur: result vs prediction

PEC Zwolle 0 – 1 Cambuur

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen — team news & stats · 2026-10-09
GO Ahead Eagles v Sparta Rotterdam — match page · 2026-10-10
Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar · 2026-10-10
Fortuna Sittard vs Twente · 2026-10-10
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen — team news & stats · 2026-10-10
Utrecht v Willem II — match page · 2026-10-11
Telstar vs ADO Den Haag · 2026-10-11
Excelsior v Groningen — match page · 2026-10-11

Before and after this match

PEC Zwolle, previous: Groningen vs PEC Zwolle prediction
PEC Zwolle, next: PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles: odds and pick
Cambuur, previous: ADO Den Haag – Cambuur, 2026-09-19
Cambuur, next: Cambuur – AZ Alkmaar, 2026-10-18

PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	PEC Zwolle	40.7%	2.46	-5.2%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	72.1%	1.39	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	70.4%	1.42	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	75.8%	1.32	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	74.7%	1.34	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	PEC Zwolle	40.7%
	Draw	24.2%
	Cambuur	35.0%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	72.1%
	Under 2.5	27.9%
Both teams to score	Yes	70.4%
	No	29.6%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	65.0%
	12 (either side)	75.8%
	X2 (draw or away)	59.3%
Handicap -1	PEC Zwolle win	11.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	13.5%
	Loss	74.7%
Correct score (top 3)	1-2	8.9%
	1-1	8.8%
	2-2	6.8%

PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur stats

PEC Zwolle and Cambuur recent form

newest first

PEC Zwolle	LLDLWL
Cambuur	DWDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

PEC Zwolle and Cambuur going into this match

league record before kick-off

PEC Zwolle record

They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Cambuur record

They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4PEC Zwolle wins 1Draws 5Cambuur wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2022-07-22	PEC Zwolle	Cambuur	Friendlies Clubs	3-1
2022-02-12	Cambuur	PEC Zwolle	Eredivisie	3-4
2021-11-06	PEC Zwolle	Cambuur	Eredivisie	1-2
2021-07-24	PEC Zwolle	Cambuur	Friendlies Clubs	2-1
2020-08-01	Cambuur	PEC Zwolle	Friendlies Clubs	2-0
2016-02-27	Cambuur	PEC Zwolle	Eredivisie	1-0
2015-08-12	PEC Zwolle	Cambuur	Eredivisie	2-2
2015-03-07	PEC Zwolle	Cambuur	Eredivisie	6-1
2014-12-20	Cambuur	PEC Zwolle	Eredivisie	2-1
2014-02-16	Cambuur	PEC Zwolle	Eredivisie	3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.9%, draw 25.0%, away 29.1%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.04	3.86	3.40
Bet365	2.10	3.70	3.20
BetVictor	2.05	3.80	3.13
Betano	2.10	3.75	3.25
Betfair	2.00	3.75	3.20
Dafabet	2.12	3.80	3.25
Marathonbet	1.98	3.74	3.30
Pinnacle	2.11	3.90	3.30
SBO	2.03	3.40	2.92
William Hill	2.00	3.50	3.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.04 ▲ +0.29

X 3.75 ▼ -0.22

2 3.23 ▼ -0.69

47 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-18T08:10:01Z.