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Eredivisie · ·Matchday 8

PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur

Garuda Lions Prediction: PEC Zwolle

2 – 1 Predicted score · 6% model probability

Bet on PEC Zwolle

MAC³PARK Stadion, ZwolleReferee: Sander van der Eijk

PEC Zwolle 43%
Draw 24%
Cambuur 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance PEC Zwolle wins
43%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
97%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
70%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
6% of simulated outcomes

PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur overview

Garuda Lions analysis: PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPEC ZwolleDrawCambuur
Model25.1%21.9%53.0%
Market48.9%24.1%27.0%
Final43.0%23.5%33.5%
Edge-23.8%-2.2%+26.0%

Confidence: Low

Best available price on the pick: 2.02, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur match preview

PEC Zwolle faces Cambuur in the Eredivisie with a kickoff scheduled for October 11, 2026. The model indicates a 44% probability of a PEC Zwolle victory, while Cambuur has a 32% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, occurring at a 6% probability. Both teams show a strong tendency for high-scoring matches, with over 2.5 goals predicted at 72% and both teams to score at 70%.

In terms of recent form, PEC Zwolle has struggled with two losses and only one win in their last five matches, while Cambuur has a mixed record with two draws and three losses. Expected goals suggest PEC Zwolle will score around 1.51, while Cambuur is anticipated to net approximately 2.22 goals. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating moderate reliability in the predictions.

PEC Zwolle and Cambuur team news

injuries & suspensions

PEC Zwolle news

  • F. Krastev — achilles tendon injury
  • I. Cissoko — injury
  • R. Thomas — injury
  • Y. Namli — knee injury

Cambuur news

  • D. Visser — knee injury
  • N. Binder — injury
  • W. Asselman — injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

PEC Zwolle ↓ / Cambuur → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 6% 1 9% 9% 7% 6% 2 6% 7% 5% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

PEC Zwolle and Cambuur expected goals

PEC Zwolle 1.51
Cambuur 2.22

Total expected goals: 3.73

PEC Zwolle and Cambuur attack and defence ratings

PEC Zwolle

Attack 0.67 -33%
Defence 1.56 +56%

Cambuur

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Eredivisie

Before and after this match

PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 PEC Zwolle 43.0% 2.33 -23.8% 2.02
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.0% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.3% 1.42 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.5% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 74.8% 1.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2PEC Zwolle43.0%
Draw23.5%
Cambuur33.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.0%
Under 2.528.0%
Both teams to scoreYes70.3%
No29.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.5%
12 (either side)76.5%
X2 (draw or away)57.0%
Handicap -1PEC Zwolle win11.8%
Push (exactly one goal)13.4%
Loss74.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-28.9%
1-18.8%
2-26.7%
Compare prices for this pick

PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur stats

PEC Zwolle and Cambuur recent form

newest first
PEC Zwolle LLDLWL
Cambuur DWDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

PEC Zwolle and Cambuur season so far

league record

PEC Zwolle record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.

Cambuur record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.

PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.9%, draw 24.1%, away 27.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.91 3.96 3.76
Bet365 1.95 3.75 3.50
BetVictor 1.93 3.90 3.40
Betano 1.95 3.95 3.50
Betfair 1.91 3.90 3.40
Dafabet 2.02 3.90 3.45
Marathonbet 1.85 3.84 3.64
Pinnacle 1.90 4.06 3.58
SBO 1.95 3.32 2.99
William Hill 1.91 3.70 3.40
Find the best place to bet

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.92 ▲ +0.17
X 3.90 ▼ -0.07
2 3.48 ▼ -0.44

44 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 PEC Zwolle Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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