Eredivisie · Full time ·Matchday 7

ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur

1 – 1 Full time

21′Nigel Thomas
28′Nigel ThomasDaryl van Mieghem
44′Fabian Kvam
58′Sami BouhoudaneWiebe Kooistra
69′Jalen HawkinsJesse Bal
69′Jonas Jensen-AbbewOthniël Raterink
69′Matěj ŠínDonat Barany
71′Mathieu Maertens
73′Ilyes HamacheIwan Henstra
73′Fabian KvamSkye Vink
73′Mathieu MaertensJamal Amofa
74′Donat Barany
81′Milan HokkeSekou Sylla
83′Matteo Waem
83′Devid Eugene BouahEthan Apkakou
90′Wiebe Kooistra
90′Sekou Sylla

Bingoal Stadion, The HagueReferee: Allard Lindhout

ADO Den Haag 52%
Draw 23%
Cambuur 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
63 Possession % 37
6 Corners 3
22 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 2
2 Saves 5
344 Accurate passes 186

ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur overview

Garuda Lions analysis: ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityADO Den HaagDrawCambuur
Model53.5%21.0%25.5%
Market50.9%24.0%25.1%
Final51.5%23.3%25.2%
Edge+2.6%-3.1%+0.4%

Confidence: Low

Why ADO Den Haag

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.36 vs 1.63.
  • The market prices ADO Den Haag below the model: +2.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

ADO Den Haag ↓ / Cambuur → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 6% 2 5% 8% 7% 3 7% 5% 4+ 7% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 76%
No goals 3%

ADO Den Haag and Cambuur expected goals

ADO Den Haag 2.36
Cambuur 1.63

Total expected goals: 3.99

ADO Den Haag and Cambuur attack and defence ratings

ADO Den Haag

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Cambuur

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur: result vs prediction

ADO Den Haag 1 – 1 Cambuur

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Eredivisie

Before and after this match

ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 ADO Den Haag 51.5% 1.94 +2.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.0% 1.31 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.5% 1.36 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.7% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.5% 2.15 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2ADO Den Haag51.5%
Draw23.3%
Cambuur25.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.0%
Under 2.524.0%
Both teams to scoreYes73.5%
No26.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.8%
12 (either side)76.7%
X2 (draw or away)48.5%
Handicap -1ADO Den Haag win34.0%
Push (exactly one goal)19.6%
Loss46.5%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.4%
1-17.8%
2-26.8%

ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur stats

ADO Den Haag and Cambuur recent form

newest first
ADO Den Haag LLDLLL
Cambuur WDLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

ADO Den Haag and Cambuur going into this match

league record before kick-off

ADO Den Haag record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

Cambuur record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.

ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2ADO Den Haag wins 2Draws 6Cambuur wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-16ADO Den HaagCambuurEerste Divisie1-2
2025-11-21CambuurADO Den HaagEerste Divisie2-0
2025-05-02ADO Den HaagCambuurEerste Divisie3-4
2024-12-07CambuurADO Den HaagEerste Divisie2-1
2024-10-29ADO Den HaagCambuurKNVB Beker1-4
2024-04-05CambuurADO Den HaagEerste Divisie0-2
2023-11-12ADO Den HaagCambuurEerste Divisie1-2
2016-01-24ADO Den HaagCambuurEredivisie2-1
2015-10-25CambuurADO Den HaagEredivisie1-1
2015-01-17ADO Den HaagCambuurEredivisie2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.2%, draw 23.8%, away 25.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.67 4.30 4.20
1xBet 1.89 4.04 3.76
888Sport 1.67 3.90 4.33
Bet365 1.85 3.90 3.90
BetVictor 1.85 4.00 3.60
Betano 1.93 4.10 3.80
Betfair 1.83 3.90 3.75
Marathonbet 1.83 3.92 3.65
Pinnacle 1.90 4.09 3.78
SBO 1.77 3.47 3.41
Unibet 1.67 4.00 4.50
William Hill 1.85 3.75 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.85 ▲ +0.18
X 3.92 ▼ -0.18
2 3.75 ▼ -0.70

24 snapshots recorded, from .