ADO Den Haag
vs
Cambuur
1 – 1 Full time
| 21′ | Nigel Thomas | ||
| 28′ | Nigel ThomasDaryl van Mieghem | ||
| 44′ | Fabian Kvam | ||
| 58′ | Sami BouhoudaneWiebe Kooistra | ||
| 69′ | Jalen HawkinsJesse Bal | ||
| 69′ | Jonas Jensen-AbbewOthniël Raterink | ||
| 69′ | Matěj ŠínDonat Barany | ||
| 71′ | Mathieu Maertens | ||
| 73′ | Ilyes HamacheIwan Henstra | ||
| 73′ | Fabian KvamSkye Vink | ||
| 73′ | Mathieu MaertensJamal Amofa | ||
| 74′ | Donat Barany | ||
| 81′ | Milan HokkeSekou Sylla | ||
| 83′ | Matteo Waem | ||
| 83′ | Devid Eugene BouahEthan Apkakou | ||
| 90′ | Wiebe Kooistra | ||
| 90′ | Sekou Sylla |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 63 | Possession % | 37 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 22 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 344 | Accurate passes | 186 |
ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur
| Probability | ADO Den Haag | Draw | Cambuur |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.5% | 21.0% | 25.5% |
| Market | 50.9% | 24.0% | 25.1% |
| Final | 51.5% | 23.3% | 25.2% |
| Edge | +2.6% | -3.1% | +0.4% |
Why ADO Den Haag
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.36 vs 1.63.
- The market prices ADO Den Haag below the model: +2.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ADO Den Haag and Cambuur expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.99
ADO Den Haag and Cambuur attack and defence ratings
ADO Den Haag
Cambuur
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur: result vs prediction
ADO Den Haag 1 – 1 Cambuur
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ADO Den Haag | 51.5% | 1.94 | +2.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.0% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ADO Den Haag | 51.5% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| Cambuur | 25.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.5% |
| No | 26.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | ADO Den Haag win | 34.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 46.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.4% |
| 1-1 | 7.8% | |
| 2-2 | 6.8% |
ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur stats
ADO Den Haag and Cambuur recent form
| LLDLLL | |
| WDLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
ADO Den Haag and Cambuur going into this match
ADO Den Haag record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Cambuur record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | ADO Den Haag | Cambuur | Eerste Divisie | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-21 | Cambuur | ADO Den Haag | Eerste Divisie | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-02 | ADO Den Haag | Cambuur | Eerste Divisie | 3-4 |
| 2024-12-07 | Cambuur | ADO Den Haag | Eerste Divisie | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-29 | ADO Den Haag | Cambuur | KNVB Beker | 1-4 |
| 2024-04-05 | Cambuur | ADO Den Haag | Eerste Divisie | 0-2 |
| 2023-11-12 | ADO Den Haag | Cambuur | Eerste Divisie | 1-2 |
| 2016-01-24 | ADO Den Haag | Cambuur | Eredivisie | 2-1 |
| 2015-10-25 | Cambuur | ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie | 1-1 |
| 2015-01-17 | ADO Den Haag | Cambuur | Eredivisie | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.2%, draw 23.8%, away 25.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.67 | 4.30 | 4.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 4.04 | 3.76 |
| 888Sport | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.33 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.90 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 4.10 | 3.80 |
| Betfair | 1.83 | 3.90 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.92 | 3.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90 | 4.09 | 3.78 |
| SBO | 1.77 | 3.47 | 3.41 |
| Unibet | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
24 snapshots recorded, from .