Eredivisie · Full time ·Matchday 7

Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen

0 – 4 Full time

24′Julian Baas
28′Nolhan courtens
43′Jacob Trenskow
56′Maxence Rivera
61′Marvin Young
62′Bruno Martins IndiRobin van Cruijsen
62′Joel IdehoTeo Quintero León
62′Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior BabadiNick Verschuren
62′Julian BaasAndrej Kostić
72′Lushendry MartesBoyd Reith
73′Jacob TrenskowMarko Farji
73′Levi SmansLuca Oyen
75′Marko Farji
80′Dylan VenteRoberts Uldriķis
80′marcus lindayRingo Meerveld
85′Nolhan courtensAnass Bouziane

Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel, RotterdamReferee: Robin Hensgens

Sparta Rotterdam 38%
Draw 25%
Heerenveen 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 23
0 Shots on target 9
47 Possession % 53
3 Corners 6
11 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 0
5 Saves 0
340 Accurate passes 411

Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySparta RotterdamDrawHeerenveen
Model32.3%25.9%41.8%
Market39.4%24.5%36.1%
Final37.6%24.8%37.5%
Edge-7.1%+1.4%+5.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sparta Rotterd ↓ / Heerenveen → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 12% 9% 2 8% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

Sparta Rotterdam and Heerenveen expected goals

Sparta Rotterdam 1.44
Heerenveen 1.66

Total expected goals: 3.10

Sparta Rotterdam and Heerenveen attack and defence ratings

Sparta Rotterdam

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Heerenveen

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen: result vs prediction

Sparta Rotterdam 0 – 4 Heerenveen

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Eredivisie

Before and after this match

Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sparta Rotterdam 37.6% 2.66 -7.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.7% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.8% 1.59 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.2% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.7% 1.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sparta Rotterdam37.6%
Draw24.8%
Heerenveen37.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.7%
Under 2.540.3%
Both teams to scoreYes62.8%
No37.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.5%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)62.4%
Handicap -1Sparta Rotterdam win15.4%
Push (exactly one goal)17.0%
Loss67.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.9%
1-28.9%
2-17.8%

Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen stats

Sparta Rotterdam and Heerenveen recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sparta Rotterdam and Heerenveen going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sparta Rotterdam record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.

Heerenveen record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Sparta Rotterdam wins 3Draws 3Heerenveen wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-28HeerenveenSparta RotterdamEredivisie2-1
2025-12-14Sparta RotterdamHeerenveenEredivisie0-3
2025-04-12Sparta RotterdamHeerenveenEredivisie3-1
2024-10-26HeerenveenSparta RotterdamEredivisie2-0
2024-05-19Sparta RotterdamHeerenveenEredivisie2-1
2023-08-27HeerenveenSparta RotterdamEredivisie1-3
2023-04-15Sparta RotterdamHeerenveenEredivisie4-0
2022-08-05HeerenveenSparta RotterdamEredivisie0-0
2022-04-03Sparta RotterdamHeerenveenEredivisie1-1
2021-12-11HeerenveenSparta RotterdamEredivisie0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.1%, draw 25.0%, away 35.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.35 3.80 2.62
1xBet 2.45 3.84 2.68
888Sport 2.30 3.40 2.70
Bet365 2.40 3.90 2.62
BetVictor 2.38 3.90 2.55
Betano 2.55 3.70 2.60
Betfair 2.50 3.60 2.50
Marathonbet 2.38 3.72 2.60
Pinnacle 2.46 3.86 2.72
SBO 2.29 3.35 2.40
William Hill 2.30 3.60 2.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.39 ▲ +0.01
X 3.85 ▲ +0.21
2 2.61 ▼ -0.09

25 snapshots recorded, from .