Twente
vs
PSV Eindhoven
3 – 2 Full time
| 10′ | Ricardo PepiSven Mijnans | ||
| 14′ | Younes Taha El Idrissi | ||
| 26′ | Guus Til | ||
| 29′ | Guus Til | ||
| 43′ | Wout Weghorst | ||
| 58′ | Filip Erik ThorvaldsenDaan Rots | ||
| 60′ | Ruben van Bommel | ||
| 66′ | Ivan Perišić | ||
| 75′ | Ruben van BommelEsmir Bajraktarević | ||
| 76′ | Sondre Holmlund OrjasaeterMarko Pjaca | ||
| 76′ | Robin PropperLucas hesselink of vennegoor | ||
| 79′ | Wout Weghorst | ||
| 80′ | Paul WannerRyan Flamingo | ||
| 83′ | Daouda Weidmann | ||
| 86′ | Younes Taha El IdrissiThomas Van den Belt |
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 277 | Accurate passes | 464 |
Twente vs PSV Eindhoven overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Twente vs PSV Eindhoven
| Probability | Twente | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.6% | 22.1% | 42.3% |
| Market | 33.6% | 23.5% | 42.8% |
| Final | 34.1% | 23.2% | 42.7% |
| Edge | +2.0% | -1.5% | -0.5% |
Why PSV Eindhoven
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Twente and PSV Eindhoven expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.00
Twente and PSV Eindhoven attack and defence ratings
Twente
PSV Eindhoven
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Twente vs PSV Eindhoven: result vs prediction
Twente 3 – 2 PSV Eindhoven
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Twente vs PSV Eindhoven markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PSV Eindhoven | 42.7% | 2.34 | -0.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Twente | 34.1% |
| Draw | 23.2% | |
| PSV Eindhoven | 42.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.4% |
| No | 24.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | PSV Eindhoven win | 24.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.8% | |
| Loss | 58.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.0% |
| 1-2 | 7.6% | |
| 2-2 | 7.3% |
Twente vs PSV Eindhoven stats
Twente and PSV Eindhoven recent form
| Twente |
WWDWWL |
| PSV Eindhoven |
WDWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Twente and PSV Eindhoven going into this match
Twente record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
PSV Eindhoven record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 3.7 goals per match.
Twente vs PSV Eindhoven head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | PSV Eindhoven | Twente | Eredivisie | 5-1 |
| 2025-08-17 | Twente | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-24 | Twente | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | 1-3 |
| 2024-12-06 | PSV Eindhoven | Twente | Eredivisie | 6-1 |
| 2024-03-17 | PSV Eindhoven | Twente | Eredivisie | 1-0 |
| 2024-01-17 | PSV Eindhoven | Twente | KNVB Beker | 3-1 |
| 2023-11-25 | Twente | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | 0-3 |
| 2023-02-26 | PSV Eindhoven | Twente | Eredivisie | 3-1 |
| 2022-09-03 | Twente | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | 2-1 |
| 2022-04-02 | Twente | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Twente vs PSV Eindhoven odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.6%, draw 23.5%, away 42.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.87 | 4.04 | 2.24 |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 4.20 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 2.82 | 4.10 | 2.22 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 4.00 | 2.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.74 | 3.92 | 2.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.87 | 4.09 | 2.27 |
| SBO | 2.64 | 3.85 | 2.12 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.80 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
19 snapshots recorded, from .