Eredivisie · 2026-09-12T14:30:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 6

Twente vs ADO Den Haag

2 – 0 Full time

33′			F. de Bruin
45′			F. de BruinMatěj Šín
50′			Jalen Hawkins
54′			Marko PjacaFilip Erik Thorvaldsen
61′			Jalen HawkinsJesse Bal
61′			Wout Weghorst
67′			Yannick Fereira EduardoDonat Barany
67′			Othniël RaterinkDaryl van Mieghem
69′			Sondre Holmlund OrjasaeterDaan Rots
69′			Younes Taha El IdrissiThomas Van den Belt
74′			Milan HokkeSekou Sylla
74′			Robin Propper
76′			Daouda WeidmannJordy Bawuah
76′			Wout WeghorstLucas hesselink of vennegoor
79′			Max Bruns
87′			Sekou Sylla

De Grolsch Veste, EnschedeReferee: J. van der Laan

Twente

70%

Draw

17%

ADO Den Haag

13%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

24	Shots	10
12	Shots on target	5
61	Possession %	39
12	Corners	2
10	Fouls	11
2	Offsides	3
5	Saves	10
486	Accurate passes	285

Twente vs ADO Den Haag overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Twente vs ADO Den Haag

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Twente	Draw	ADO Den Haag
Model	61.3%	19.6%	19.1%
Market	73.2%	15.7%	11.1%
Final	70.2%	16.7%	13.1%
Edge	-11.9%	+3.9%	+8.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Twente

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.51 vs 1.38.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

97%

2+ goals

91%

3+ goals

75%

No goals

Twente and ADO Den Haag expected goals

Twente

2.51

ADO Den Haag

1.38

Total expected goals: 3.89

Twente and ADO Den Haag attack and defence ratings

Twente

Attack

1.30 +30%

Defence

0.85 -15%

ADO Den Haag

Attack

1.09 +9%

Defence

1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Twente vs ADO Den Haag: result vs prediction

Twente 2 – 0 ADO Den Haag

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar v Willem II — match page · 2026-09-11
GO Ahead Eagles vs Groningen · 2026-09-12
Fortuna Sittard v Ajax — match page · 2026-09-12
Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
Excelsior vs Utrecht · 2026-09-13
Heerenveen vs Telstar — team news & stats · 2026-09-13
PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord · 2026-09-13
PSV Eindhoven v Sparta Rotterdam — match page · 2026-09-13

Before and after this match

Twente, previous: Twente – Telstar, 2026-09-09
Twente, next: Twente vs PSV Eindhoven prediction
ADO Den Haag, previous: ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard prediction
ADO Den Haag, next: ADO Den Haag – Cambuur, 2026-09-19

Twente vs ADO Den Haag markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Twente	70.2%	1.42	-11.9%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	74.6%	1.34	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	69.6%	1.44	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	86.9%	1.15	—	—
Handicap -1	Twente win	41.1%	2.43	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Twente	70.2%
	Draw	16.7%
	ADO Den Haag	13.1%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	74.6%
	Under 2.5	25.4%
Both teams to score	Yes	69.6%
	No	30.4%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	86.9%
	12 (either side)	83.3%
	X2 (draw or away)	29.8%
Handicap -1	Twente win	41.1%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.2%
	Loss	38.7%
Correct score (top 3)	2-1	8.9%
	1-1	7.8%
	3-1	7.4%

Twente vs ADO Den Haag stats

Twente and ADO Den Haag recent form

newest first

Twente	WDWWLW
ADO Den Haag	LDLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Twente and ADO Den Haag going into this match

league record before kick-off

Twente record

They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

ADO Den Haag record

They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Twente vs ADO Den Haag head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

3Twente wins 3Draws 3ADO Den Haag wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2021-07-24	ADO Den Haag	Twente	Friendlies Clubs	2-2
2021-05-16	Twente	ADO Den Haag	Eredivisie	3-2
2020-11-07	ADO Den Haag	Twente	Eredivisie	2-4
2019-12-07	ADO Den Haag	Twente	Eredivisie	0-0
2018-04-14	ADO Den Haag	Twente	Eredivisie	2-1
2017-12-09	Twente	ADO Den Haag	Eredivisie	2-3
2017-02-24	ADO Den Haag	Twente	Eredivisie	1-1
2016-09-17	Twente	ADO Den Haag	Eredivisie	4-1
2016-03-04	ADO Den Haag	Twente	Eredivisie	2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Twente vs ADO Den Haag odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 74.4%, draw 15.1%, away 10.5%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	1.23	6.25	10.50
1xBet	1.29	6.29	9.50
888Sport	1.22	5.50	11.00
Bet365	1.30	6.00	8.00
BetVictor	1.29	6.00	8.50
Betano	1.33	6.40	8.50
Betfair	1.20	6.50	11.00
Dafabet	1.25	6.40	12.00
Marathonbet	1.26	5.95	9.00
Pinnacle	1.31	6.30	8.28
SBO	1.27	5.61	7.34
Unibet	1.21	6.50	11.00
William Hill	1.29	5.50	8.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.29 ▲ +0.07

X 6.00 ▼ -0.28

2 8.50 ▼ -2.50

17 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-04T08:10:01Z.