ADO Den Haag
vs
Fortuna Sittard
2 – 3 Full time
| 10′ | Shiloh 't Zand | ||
| 29′ | M. Ihattaren | ||
| 34′ | L. Zeefuik | ||
| 46′ | S. SyllaJ. Jensen-Abbew | ||
| 46′ | D. van MieghemJ. Hawkins | ||
| 53′ | M. JimenezJ. Bal | ||
| 58′ | Jasper Dahlhaus | ||
| 59′ | Y. Eduardo | ||
| 62′ | M. Ihattaren | ||
| 64′ | Y. EduardoL. Reischl | ||
| 64′ | A. DescotteY. Oukili | ||
| 72′ | N. ThomasI. de Ruijter | ||
| 74′ | M. IhattarenS. van Ottele | ||
| 83′ | Fortuna SittardN. de Groot | ||
| 90′ | Philip Brittijn | ||
| 90′ | Justin Hubner | ||
| 90′ | J. Bal |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 2 | Corners | 0 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 410 | Accurate passes | 285 |
ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard
| Probability | ADO Den Haag | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.1% | 22.8% | 25.1% |
| Market | 48.2% | 23.6% | 28.2% |
| Final | 49.2% | 23.4% | 27.4% |
| Edge | +4.0% | -0.8% | -3.1% |
Why ADO Den Haag
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.09 vs 1.43.
- The market prices ADO Den Haag below the model: +4.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ADO Den Haag and Fortuna Sittard expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.52
ADO Den Haag and Fortuna Sittard attack and defence ratings
ADO Den Haag
Fortuna Sittard
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard: result vs prediction
ADO Den Haag 2 – 3 Fortuna Sittard
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ADO Den Haag | 49.2% | 2.03 | +4.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ADO Den Haag | 49.2% |
| Draw | 23.4% | |
| Fortuna Sittard | 27.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.6% |
| No | 32.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | ADO Den Haag win | 31.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 48.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 2-2 | 6.6% |
ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard stats
ADO Den Haag and Fortuna Sittard recent form
| ADO Den Haag |
DLLLWW |
| Fortuna Sittard |
WLWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
ADO Den Haag and Fortuna Sittard going into this match
ADO Den Haag record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-04-25 | ADO Den Haag | Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie | 0-3 |
| 2021-02-20 | Fortuna Sittard | ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie | 2-0 |
| 2019-11-09 | Fortuna Sittard | ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie | 1-0 |
| 2019-10-31 | Fortuna Sittard | ADO Den Haag | KNVB Beker | 3-0 |
| 2019-04-03 | Fortuna Sittard | ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie | 0-0 |
| 2018-08-24 | ADO Den Haag | Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.8%, draw 23.8%, away 29.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.04 | 3.95 | 3.10 |
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 4.01 | 3.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 4.00 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.90 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.12 | 3.95 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 3.90 | 3.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97 | 4.16 | 3.47 |
| SBO | 2.02 | 3.39 | 2.78 |
| Superbet | 2.10 | 3.85 | 3.15 |
| Unibet | 2.05 | 3.75 | 3.15 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .