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Eredivisie · Full time ·Matchday 5

Utrecht vs GO Ahead Eagles

3 – 3 Full time

18′M. Suray
44′Davy van den Berg
46′Y. CathlineA. Blake
49′S. Tengstedt
58′V. Edvardsen
61′G. OfferhausJ. Medic
61′A. ZagreM. Broholm
61′S. HoremansS. van Duijn
63′D. de Wit
65′Artem Stepanov
65′Joris Kramer
77′M. Didden
85′S. I. SigurdarsonT. Baeten
90′A. Stepanov

Stadion Galgenwaard, UtrechtReferee: Martin Van den Kerkhof, Netherlands

Utrecht 41%
Draw 24%
GO Ahead Eagles 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 7
41 Possession % 59
7 Corners 5
16 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 1
4 Saves 4
368 Accurate passes 336

Utrecht vs GO Ahead Eagles overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Utrecht vs GO Ahead Eagles

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUtrechtDrawGO Ahead Eagles
Model32.8%20.1%47.1%
Market43.9%25.3%30.8%
Final41.1%24.0%34.9%
Edge-11.1%-5.2%+16.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Utrecht ↓ / GO Ahead Eagle → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 7% 6% 6% 2 6% 7% 6% 6% 3 4% 5% 4% 4% 4+ 4% 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 95%
3+ goals 83%
No goals 2%

Utrecht and GO Ahead Eagles expected goals

Utrecht 2.08
GO Ahead Eagles 2.47

Total expected goals: 4.55

Utrecht and GO Ahead Eagles attack and defence ratings

Utrecht

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.36 +36%

GO Ahead Eagles

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Utrecht vs GO Ahead Eagles: result vs prediction

Utrecht 3 – 3 GO Ahead Eagles

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Eredivisie

Before and after this match

Utrecht vs GO Ahead Eagles markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Utrecht 41.1% 2.43 -11.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 83.2% 1.20 — —
Both teams to score Yes 80.6% 1.24 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.0% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.2% 1.49 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Utrecht41.1%
Draw24.0%
GO Ahead Eagles34.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.583.2%
Under 2.516.8%
Both teams to scoreYes80.6%
No19.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.1%
12 (either side)76.0%
X2 (draw or away)58.9%
Handicap -1Utrecht win18.0%
Push (exactly one goal)14.8%
Loss67.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-27.0%
1-26.7%
1-16.0%

Utrecht vs GO Ahead Eagles stats

Utrecht and GO Ahead Eagles recent form

newest first
Utrecht LDLLDW
GO Ahead Eagles LWDWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Utrecht vs GO Ahead Eagles head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Utrecht wins 5Draws 2GO Ahead Eagles wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-22UtrechtGO Ahead EaglesEredivisie2-0
2025-11-30GO Ahead EaglesUtrechtEredivisie2-2
2025-04-06GO Ahead EaglesUtrechtEredivisie2-2
2024-12-15UtrechtGO Ahead EaglesEredivisie3-3
2024-05-26UtrechtGO Ahead EaglesEredivisie1-2
2024-04-14UtrechtGO Ahead EaglesEredivisie2-1
2023-12-10GO Ahead EaglesUtrechtEredivisie0-2
2023-03-18UtrechtGO Ahead EaglesEredivisie1-2
2023-01-15GO Ahead EaglesUtrechtEredivisie2-2
2022-03-05GO Ahead EaglesUtrechtEredivisie1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Utrecht vs GO Ahead Eagles odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.1%, draw 25.2%, away 29.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.04 3.85 3.15
1xBet 2.19 3.68 3.18
Bet365 2.15 4.00 3.00
BetVictor 2.10 3.80 3.00
Betano 2.10 3.80 3.25
Betfair 2.00 3.90 3.20
Dafabet 2.13 3.80 3.25
Marathonbet 2.13 3.58 3.10
Pinnacle 2.18 3.76 3.23
SBO 1.97 3.29 2.96
Superbet 2.12 3.75 3.20
Unibet 2.02 3.65 3.25
William Hill 2.10 3.50 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.14 ▲ +0.22
X 3.72 ▼ -0.13
2 3.05 ▼ -0.35

16 snapshots recorded, from .