Garuda Lions
Today
Eredivisie · Full time ·Matchday 6

GO Ahead Eagles vs Groningen

1 – 1 Full time

32′Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson
60′Alfons SampstedThibo Baeten
64′David van der WerffJacob Ondrejka
67′Evert LinthorstYassir Salah Rahmouni
70′Wouter PrinsMarco Rente
77′Pelle ClementNils Eggens
78′Brynjólfur Darri WillumssonOskar Zawada
78′Julius DirksenErik Flataker Hovden
78′Dean Ruben JamesOskar Siira Sivertsen
79′Mathis SurayGiovanni Van Zwam
82′Søren Tengstedt
90′Yassir Salah Rahmouni

De Adelaarshorst, DeventerReferee: D. Higler

GO Ahead Eagles 44%
Draw 23%
Groningen 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

24 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 2
61 Possession % 39
9 Corners 0
8 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 0
1 Saves 5
490 Accurate passes 304

GO Ahead Eagles vs Groningen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: GO Ahead Eagles vs Groningen

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGO Ahead EaglesDrawGroningen
Model50.6%20.0%29.4%
Market41.6%23.7%34.7%
Final43.9%22.8%33.3%
Edge+9.0%-3.7%-5.3%

Confidence: Low

Why GO Ahead Eagles

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.52 vs 1.93.
  • The market prices GO Ahead Eagles below the model: +9.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

GO Ahead Eagle ↓ / Groningen → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 5% 2 4% 7% 7% 4% 3 6% 6% 4% 4+ 4% 7% 7% 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 94%
3+ goals 82%
No goals 2%

GO Ahead Eagles and Groningen expected goals

GO Ahead Eagles 2.52
Groningen 1.93

Total expected goals: 4.45

GO Ahead Eagles and Groningen attack and defence ratings

GO Ahead Eagles

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Groningen

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

GO Ahead Eagles vs Groningen: result vs prediction

GO Ahead Eagles 1 – 1 Groningen

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Eredivisie

Before and after this match

GO Ahead Eagles vs Groningen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 GO Ahead Eagles 43.9% 2.28 +9.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82.1% 1.22 — —
Both teams to score Yes 79.2% 1.26 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.2% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.2% 2.03 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2GO Ahead Eagles43.9%
Draw22.8%
Groningen33.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.582.1%
Under 2.517.9%
Both teams to scoreYes79.2%
No20.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.7%
12 (either side)77.2%
X2 (draw or away)56.1%
Handicap -1GO Ahead Eagles win32.4%
Push (exactly one goal)18.4%
Loss49.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-17.2%
2-26.9%
1-16.3%

GO Ahead Eagles vs Groningen stats

GO Ahead Eagles and Groningen recent form

newest first
GO Ahead Eagles DLWDWL
Groningen DLLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

GO Ahead Eagles and Groningen going into this match

league record before kick-off

GO Ahead Eagles record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.

Groningen record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.

GO Ahead Eagles vs Groningen head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2GO Ahead Eagles wins 4Draws 4Groningen wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-11GroningenGO Ahead EaglesEredivisie0-0
2025-12-21GO Ahead EaglesGroningenEredivisie1-1
2025-01-18GO Ahead EaglesGroningenEredivisie2-1
2024-09-29GroningenGO Ahead EaglesEredivisie0-1
2023-05-07GO Ahead EaglesGroningenEredivisie1-1
2022-08-21GroningenGO Ahead EaglesEredivisie1-0
2022-02-06GroningenGO Ahead EaglesEredivisie2-1
2021-11-21GO Ahead EaglesGroningenEredivisie0-1
2017-04-22GO Ahead EaglesGroningenEredivisie2-3
2016-12-18GroningenGO Ahead EaglesEredivisie1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

GO Ahead Eagles vs Groningen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.5%, draw 23.9%, away 34.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.26 3.90 2.70
1xBet 2.32 4.00 2.78
888Sport 2.25 3.60 2.70
Bet365 2.25 4.00 2.70
BetVictor 2.25 4.00 2.70
Betano 2.30 3.95 2.75
Betfair 2.25 3.90 2.70
Dafabet 2.34 4.00 2.75
Marathonbet 2.25 3.88 2.70
Pinnacle 2.31 4.10 2.81
SBO 2.26 3.58 2.58
Unibet 2.20 3.80 2.80
William Hill 2.25 3.70 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.25 —
X 3.95 ▲ +0.09
2 2.70 ▼ -0.04

18 snapshots recorded, from .