Heerenveen
vs
Telstar
0 – 0 Full time
| 53′ | Sam KerstenHristiyan Petrov | ||
| 61′ | Maxence RiveraLuca Oyen | ||
| 61′ | Levi SmansRoberts Uldriķis | ||
| 69′ | Vasilios Zagaritis | ||
| 69′ | Nökkvi Þeyr ÞórissonJelani Seedorf | ||
| 75′ | Rui MendesHarrie Kuster | ||
| 82′ | Jacob TrenskowMarko Farji | ||
| 83′ | Marko Farji | ||
| 87′ | Tyrone OwusuIsaiah Ahmed |
Match stats
| 23 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 63 | Possession % | 37 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Saves | 6 |
| 471 | Accurate passes | 231 |
Heerenveen vs Telstar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Heerenveen vs Telstar
| Probability | Heerenveen | Draw | Telstar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.8% | 25.1% | 28.1% |
| Market | 58.7% | 20.9% | 20.4% |
| Final | 55.7% | 21.9% | 22.4% |
| Edge | -11.9% | +4.2% | +7.7% |
Why Heerenveen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.36.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Heerenveen and Telstar expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.16
Heerenveen and Telstar attack and defence ratings
Heerenveen
Telstar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Heerenveen vs Telstar: result vs prediction
Heerenveen 0 – 0 Telstar
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Heerenveen vs Telstar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Heerenveen | 55.7% | 1.79 | -11.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Heerenveen | 55.7% |
| Draw | 21.9% | |
| Telstar | 22.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.2% |
| No | 36.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Heerenveen win | 26.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 53.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-2 | 7.1% |
Heerenveen vs Telstar stats
Heerenveen and Telstar recent form
| Heerenveen |
LDLDWL |
| Telstar |
LDLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Heerenveen and Telstar going into this match
Heerenveen record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Telstar record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Heerenveen vs Telstar head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Heerenveen | Telstar | Eredivisie | 3-0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Telstar | Heerenveen | Eredivisie | 2-3 |
| 2025-07-11 | Heerenveen | Telstar | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Heerenveen vs Telstar odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.4%, draw 21.7%, away 20.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.81 | 3.95 | 3.80 |
| 1xBet | 1.64 | 4.58 | 4.73 |
| 888Sport | 1.80 | 3.75 | 3.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 4.50 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 4.50 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 4.65 | 4.85 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 4.33 | 4.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.83 | 4.20 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.59 | 4.45 | 4.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64 | 4.66 | 4.70 |
| SBO | 1.56 | 4.07 | 4.16 |
| Unibet | 1.79 | 3.90 | 3.85 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 4.20 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
19 snapshots recorded, from .