Eredivisie
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
PSV Eindhoven
vs
Sparta Rotterdam
4 – 1 Full time
| 15′ | Milan Zonneveld | ||
| 23′ | Sven Mijnans | ||
| 30′ | Bruno Martins Indi | ||
| 39′ | Kodai Sano | ||
| 60′ | Esmir BajraktarevićIvan Perišić | ||
| 60′ | Guus TilRicardo Pepi | ||
| 60′ | Amir BouhamdiRuben van Bommel | ||
| 63′ | Casper TerhoTeo Quintero León | ||
| 63′ | Julian BaasIsaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi | ||
| 74′ | Sven Mijnans | ||
| 75′ | Armando Obispo | ||
| 77′ | Paul WannerNoah Fernandez | ||
| 77′ | Milan ZonneveldAndrej Kostić | ||
| 77′ | Mitchell Van BergenRobin van Cruijsen | ||
| 82′ | Bruno Martins IndiJoel Ideho | ||
| 88′ | Sven Mijnans | ||
| 90′ | Sven MijnansAyoni Santos |
PSV Eindhoven
83%
Draw
11%
Sparta Rotterdam
7%
Match stats
| 28 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 76 | Possession % | 24 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 6 | Fouls | 3 |
| 5 | Offsides | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 6 |
| 715 | Accurate passes | 174 |
PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam overview
Garuda Lions analysis: PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam
| Probability | PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 83.5% | 10.1% | 6.4% |
| Market | 82.4% | 11.1% | 6.5% |
| Final | 82.7% | 10.8% | 6.5% |
| Edge | +1.1% | -1.0% | -0.1% |
Why PSV Eindhoven
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.74 vs 1.14.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
99%
2+ goals
96%
3+ goals
86%
No goals
1%
PSV Eindhoven and Sparta Rotterdam expected goals
PSV Eindhoven
3.74
Sparta Rotterdam
1.14
Total expected goals: 4.87
PSV Eindhoven and Sparta Rotterdam attack and defence ratings
PSV Eindhoven
Attack
1.73 +73%
Defence
0.84 -16%
Sparta Rotterdam
Attack
0.90 -10%
Defence
1.22 +22%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam: result vs prediction
PSV Eindhoven 4 – 1 Sparta Rotterdam
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PSV Eindhoven | 82.7% | 1.21 | +1.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | PSV Eindhoven win | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PSV Eindhoven | 82.7% |
| Draw | 10.8% | |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 6.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 86.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 13.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.5% |
| No | 33.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 89.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 17.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | PSV Eindhoven win | 68.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.8% | |
| Loss | 16.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 7.5% |
| 4-1 | 7.1% | |
| 3-0 | 6.7% |
PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam stats
PSV Eindhoven and Sparta Rotterdam recent form
| PSV Eindhoven |
DWWWWD |
| Sparta Rotterdam |
DLDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
PSV Eindhoven and Sparta Rotterdam going into this match
PSV Eindhoven record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 3.6 goals per match.
Sparta Rotterdam record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
9PSV Eindhoven wins
1Draws
0Sparta Rotterdam wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Sparta Rotterdam | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | 0-2 |
| 2025-08-09 | PSV Eindhoven | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | 6-1 |
| 2025-05-18 | Sparta Rotterdam | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | 1-3 |
| 2024-10-05 | PSV Eindhoven | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-05 | PSV Eindhoven | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | 4-2 |
| 2023-10-08 | Sparta Rotterdam | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | 0-4 |
| 2023-05-06 | Sparta Rotterdam | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | 0-1 |
| 2023-01-10 | Sparta Rotterdam | PSV Eindhoven | KNVB Beker | 1-2 |
| 2023-01-07 | PSV Eindhoven | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | 0-0 |
| 2022-02-27 | Sparta Rotterdam | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 81.8%, draw 11.2%, away 7.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.16 | 7.60 | 13.50 |
| 1xBet | 1.14 | 9.70 | 15.50 |
| 888Sport | 1.17 | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.14 | 8.50 | 15.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.13 | 8.50 | 15.00 |
| Betano | 1.18 | 8.50 | 17.50 |
| Betfair | 1.14 | 8.50 | 13.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.20 | 8.20 | 12.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.13 | 8.80 | 13.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.15 | 9.76 | 14.35 |
| SBO | 1.16 | 6.76 | 9.26 |
| Unibet | 1.18 | 7.50 | 11.50 |
| William Hill | 1.17 | 8.00 | 12.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.14 ▼ -0.06
X
8.50 ▲ +1.65
2
14.35 ▲ +3.60
20 snapshots recorded, from .