PSV Eindhoven
vs
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 – 1 Full time
| 35′ | Vinícius Tobias | ||
| 45′ | Gleiker Mendoza | ||
| 47′ | Gleiker Mendoza | ||
| 48′ | Sergiño Dest | ||
| 55′ | Pedro Henrique | ||
| 56′ | Armando Obispo | ||
| 63′ | Valeriy Bondar | ||
| 65′ | Ruben van Bommel | ||
| 66′ | Kauã EliasLassina Traore | ||
| 66′ | Gleiker MendozaNewerton | ||
| 68′ | Filip KostićRyan Flamingo | ||
| 81′ | Sergiño Dest | ||
| 83′ | Ricardo PepiSven Mijnans | ||
| 87′ | A. Turan | ||
| 89′ | AlissonLucas Ferreira | ||
| 89′ | IsaqueDmytro Kryskiv | ||
| 89′ | Dmytro Kryskiv | ||
| 90′ | Marlon Gomes |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 380 | Accurate passes | 314 |
PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk overview
Garuda Lions analysis: PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk
| Probability | PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.6% | 18.4% | 17.0% |
| Market | 63.7% | 19.9% | 16.4% |
| Final | 63.9% | 19.6% | 16.5% |
| Edge | +0.9% | -1.6% | +0.6% |
Why PSV Eindhoven
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.67 vs 1.36.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
PSV Eindhoven and Shakhtar Donetsk expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.03
PSV Eindhoven and Shakhtar Donetsk attack and defence ratings
PSV Eindhoven
Shakhtar Donetsk
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk: result vs prediction
PSV Eindhoven 1 – 1 Shakhtar Donetsk
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
- Club Brugge KV v Aston Villa — match page
- AEK Athens FC vs Lask Linz — team news & stats
- Lille vs Real Betis
- Borussia Dortmund v Villarreal — match page
- FC Porto vs Manchester City — team news & stats
- Real Madrid vs Inter
- VfB Stuttgart v Viking — match page
- Barcelona vs Feyenoord — team news & stats
Before and after this match
PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PSV Eindhoven | 63.9% | 1.56 | +0.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | PSV Eindhoven win | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PSV Eindhoven | 63.9% |
| Draw | 19.6% | |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 16.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.9% |
| No | 30.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | PSV Eindhoven win | 44.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 35.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.6% |
| 3-1 | 7.7% | |
| 1-1 | 7.1% |
PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk stats
PSV Eindhoven and Shakhtar Donetsk recent form
| PSV Eindhoven |
WWWWDW |
| Shakhtar Donetsk |
WLWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-27 | PSV Eindhoven | Shakhtar Donetsk | UEFA Champions League | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 63.5%, draw 20.0%, away 16.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.42 | 4.90 | 6.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.54 | 4.93 | 6.04 |
| 888Sport | 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.80 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.75 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 4.70 | 6.00 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.75 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.50 | 4.90 | 5.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.52 | 4.85 | 5.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.51 | 4.81 | 6.10 |
| SBO | 1.44 | 4.43 | 5.32 |
| Superbet | 1.50 | 4.75 | 5.70 |
| Unibet | 1.49 | 4.90 | 5.75 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .