Barcelona
vs
Feyenoord
5 – 1 Full time
| 3′ | Raphinha | ||
| 22′ | K. Adeyemi | ||
| 27′ | Charles Vanhoutte | ||
| 46′ | J. LopezO. Targhalline | ||
| 54′ | Dani Olmo | ||
| 57′ | Raphinha | ||
| 63′ | PedriM. Bernal | ||
| 63′ | K. AdeyemiA. Gordon | ||
| 63′ | NachoS. van Persie | ||
| 71′ | RaphinhaFermín | ||
| 72′ | C. VanhoutteS. Steijn | ||
| 72′ | A. Hadj MoussaG. Borges | ||
| 77′ | Lamine Yamal | ||
| 82′ | S. Steijn | ||
| 83′ | RodriGavi | ||
| 83′ | D. OlmoGabriel Jesus | ||
| 84′ | L. ValenteT. van den Elshout | ||
| 85′ | Gabriel Jesus |
Match stats
| 24 | Shots | 4 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 72 | Possession % | 28 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Offsides | 8 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 746 | Accurate passes | 256 |
Barcelona vs Feyenoord overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Barcelona vs Feyenoord
| Probability | Barcelona | Draw | Feyenoord |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.9% | 20.8% | 17.2% |
| Market | 88.5% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
| Final | 81.9% | 10.9% | 7.2% |
| Edge | -26.6% | +13.2% | +13.4% |
Why Barcelona
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 1.16.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Barcelona and Feyenoord expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.45
Barcelona and Feyenoord attack and defence ratings
Barcelona
Feyenoord
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Barcelona vs Feyenoord: result vs prediction
Barcelona 5 – 1 Feyenoord
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Barcelona vs Feyenoord markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barcelona | 81.9% | 1.22 | -26.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Barcelona win | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barcelona | 81.9% |
| Draw | 10.9% | |
| Feyenoord | 7.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.5% |
| No | 37.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 89.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 18.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Barcelona win | 40.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 38.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.7% |
| 1-1 | 9.3% | |
| 2-0 | 8.3% |
Barcelona vs Feyenoord stats
Barcelona vs Feyenoord head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Barcelona vs Feyenoord odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 88.5%, draw 7.6%, away 3.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.07 | 10.50 | 23.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.09 | 14.40 | 30.00 |
| 888Sport | 1.08 | 11.00 | 23.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.07 | 12.00 | 21.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.06 | 13.00 | 29.00 |
| Betano | 1.10 | 11.75 | 32.00 |
| Betfair | 1.08 | 13.00 | 31.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.09 | 13.00 | 24.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.09 | 13.25 | 28.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.07 | 13.50 | 31.00 |
| SBO | 1.09 | 11.56 | 19.24 |
| Superbet | 1.08 | 12.00 | 22.00 |
| Unibet | 1.08 | 14.00 | 26.00 |
| William Hill | 1.08 | 11.00 | 23.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .