AEK Athens FC
vs
Lask Linz
1 – 0 Full time
| 21′ | R. Marin | ||
| 40′ | Luka Jović | ||
| 42′ | Melayro Bogarde | ||
| 65′ | K. P. Molgaard JorgensenF. Flecker | ||
| 65′ | R. LjubicicA. Schopf | ||
| 74′ | C. LangS. Kalajdzic | ||
| 80′ | Andrés Andrade | ||
| 82′ | L. JovicZini | ||
| 90′ | A. KoitaM. Gacinovic | ||
| 90′ | L. MajerK. Arriaga |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 341 | Accurate passes | 345 |
AEK Athens FC vs Lask Linz overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AEK Athens FC vs Lask Linz
| Probability | AEK Athens FC | Draw | Lask Linz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.3% | 26.7% | 25.0% |
| Market | 54.5% | 23.6% | 21.9% |
| Final | 53.0% | 24.4% | 22.6% |
| Edge | -6.2% | +3.1% | +3.1% |
Why AEK Athens FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.13.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AEK Athens FC and Lask Linz expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.78
AEK Athens FC and Lask Linz attack and defence ratings
AEK Athens FC
Lask Linz
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AEK Athens FC vs Lask Linz: result vs prediction
AEK Athens FC 1 – 0 Lask Linz
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
AEK Athens FC vs Lask Linz markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AEK Athens FC | 53.0% | 1.89 | -6.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AEK Athens FC | 53.0% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Lask Linz | 22.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.9% |
| No | 44.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | AEK Athens FC win | 26.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 51.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-0 | 9.0% |
AEK Athens FC vs Lask Linz stats
AEK Athens FC and Lask Linz recent form
| AEK Athens FC |
WWDWWD |
| Lask Linz |
WWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AEK Athens FC vs Lask Linz head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
AEK Athens FC vs Lask Linz odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.5%, draw 23.6%, away 21.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.77 | 4.12 | 4.58 |
| 888Sport | 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.33 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 4.20 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.83 | 3.90 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.75 | 4.15 | 4.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75 | 4.07 | 4.66 |
| SBO | 1.78 | 3.71 | 3.74 |
| Superbet | 1.75 | 4.10 | 4.25 |
| Unibet | 1.72 | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .