FC Porto
vs
Manchester City
0 – 2 Full time
| 37′ | Joško Gvardiol | ||
| 47′ | E. Haaland | ||
| 48′ | J. GvardiolA. Khusanov | ||
| 49′ | Gianluigi Donnarumma | ||
| 62′ | R. CherkiE. Anderson | ||
| 62′ | A. SemenyoI. Ndiaye | ||
| 68′ | A. VarelaHwang In-Beom | ||
| 68′ | William GomesB. Sainz | ||
| 73′ | M. FernandesF. Moura | ||
| 73′ | Andre SilvaS. Gimenez | ||
| 75′ | P. FodenR. Ait-Nouri | ||
| 75′ | A. BouaddiM. Kovacic | ||
| 83′ | G. VeigaS. Fofana | ||
| 90′ | Pablo Rosario | ||
| 90′ | Erling Haaland | ||
| 90′ | E. Haaland |
Match stats
| 5 | Shots | 20 |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Shots on target | 10 |
| 36 | Possession % | 64 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 7 | Offsides | 1 |
| 8 | Saves | 0 |
| 285 | Accurate passes | 589 |
FC Porto vs Manchester City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Porto vs Manchester City
| Probability | FC Porto | Draw | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.3% | 27.6% | 19.2% |
| Market | 19.4% | 23.7% | 56.9% |
| Final | 27.9% | 24.7% | 47.4% |
| Edge | +33.9% | +3.8% | -37.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Porto and Manchester City expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.44
FC Porto and Manchester City attack and defence ratings
FC Porto
Manchester City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Porto vs Manchester City: result vs prediction
FC Porto 0 – 2 Manchester City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Porto vs Manchester City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manchester City | 47.4% | 2.11 | -37.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Porto | 27.9% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Manchester City | 47.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.9% |
| No | 53.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Manchester City win | 6.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 12.7% | |
| Loss | 80.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 1-0 | 12.6% | |
| 2-0 | 10.9% |
FC Porto vs Manchester City stats
FC Porto and Manchester City recent form
| FC Porto |
WWWWWW |
| Manchester City |
WWWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Porto vs Manchester City head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-12-01 | FC Porto | Manchester City | UEFA Champions League | 0-0 |
| 2020-10-21 | Manchester City | FC Porto | UEFA Champions League | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Porto vs Manchester City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.4%, draw 23.7%, away 56.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.40 | 3.90 | 1.70 |
| 1xBet | 5.27 | 4.22 | 1.67 |
| 888Sport | 4.80 | 3.90 | 1.67 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 4.10 | 1.65 |
| BetVictor | 5.00 | 4.10 | 1.65 |
| Betano | 5.00 | 4.15 | 1.72 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.67 |
| Dafabet | 4.50 | 4.00 | 1.76 |
| Marathonbet | 5.15 | 4.20 | 1.67 |
| Pinnacle | 5.35 | 4.15 | 1.65 |
| SBO | 4.42 | 3.74 | 1.66 |
| Superbet | 4.50 | 4.00 | 1.72 |
| Unibet | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.66 |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 3.90 | 1.67 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .