Manchester City
vs
Coventry
1 – 0 Full time
| 19′ | Milan van Ewijk | ||
| 26′ | E. Haaland | ||
| 63′ | F. OnyekaC. Yirenkyi | ||
| 63′ | J. RudoniL. Tchaouna | ||
| 66′ | R. CherkiP. Foden | ||
| 71′ | T. AwoniyiE. Simms | ||
| 71′ | E. Mason-ClarkB. Thomas-Asante | ||
| 76′ | E. FernandezA. Bouaddi | ||
| 85′ | J. DasilvaG. Hamer | ||
| 87′ | I. NdiayeR. McAidoo | ||
| 90′ | Abdukodir Khusanov | ||
| 90′ | Ethan Pinnock |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 78 | Possession % | 22 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 17 |
| 5 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 751 | Accurate passes | 140 |
Manchester City vs Coventry overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Manchester City vs Coventry
| Probability | Manchester City | Draw | Coventry |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.8% | 24.9% | 26.4% |
| Market | 83.8% | 10.6% | 5.6% |
| Final | 75.0% | 14.2% | 10.8% |
| Edge | -35.0% | +14.2% | +20.7% |
Why Manchester City
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.41.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Manchester City and Coventry expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.26
Manchester City and Coventry attack and defence ratings
Manchester City
Coventry
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Manchester City vs Coventry: result vs prediction
Manchester City 1 – 0 Coventry
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Manchester City vs Coventry markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manchester City | 75.0% | 1.33 | -35.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manchester City | 75.0% |
| Draw | 14.2% | |
| Coventry | 10.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.2% |
| No | 33.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 25.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Manchester City win | 28.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 51.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-2 | 6.7% |
Manchester City vs Coventry stats
Manchester City and Coventry recent form
| Manchester City |
WWLDWW |
| Coventry |
LWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Manchester City vs Coventry head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Manchester City vs Coventry odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 82.2%, draw 11.4%, away 6.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.17 | 7.10 | 13.50 |
| 1xBet | 1.17 | 9.60 | 18.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.14 | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.12 | 9.00 | 19.00 |
| Betano | 1.20 | 7.30 | 13.00 |
| Betfair | 1.15 | 8.50 | 16.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.18 | 8.20 | 14.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.15 | 9.20 | 17.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.15 | 9.13 | 16.54 |
| SBO | 1.16 | 6.38 | 10.12 |
| Superbet | 1.19 | 7.90 | 13.00 |
| Unibet | 1.16 | 8.50 | 16.00 |
| William Hill | 1.15 | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| codere_it | 1.21 | 7.40 | 11.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
23 snapshots recorded, from .