Brentford
vs
Sunderland
1 – 1 Full time
| 14′ | Noah Sadiki | ||
| 17′ | N. CollinsJ. Schuster | ||
| 30′ | Mamadou Sangare | ||
| 46′ | M. KayodeA. Hickey | ||
| 46′ | M. SangareY. Yarmolyuk | ||
| 46′ | D. OuattaraJ. Anthony | ||
| 57′ | V. Janelt | ||
| 62′ | Vitaly Janelt | ||
| 64′ | T. MeunierT. Hume | ||
| 64′ | N. AnguloW. Isidor | ||
| 69′ | Yehor Yarmoliuk | ||
| 74′ | N. SadikiM. Fofana | ||
| 82′ | E. Le Fee | ||
| 86′ | M. DamsgaardC. Wilson | ||
| 88′ | Granit Xhaka |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 287 | Accurate passes | 290 |
Brentford vs Sunderland overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Brentford vs Sunderland
| Probability | Brentford | Draw | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.2% | 20.3% | 18.5% |
| Market | 55.2% | 24.8% | 19.9% |
| Final | 56.7% | 23.7% | 19.6% |
| Edge | +5.9% | -4.5% | -1.4% |
Why Brentford
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.39 vs 1.37.
- The market prices Brentford below the model: +5.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Brentford and Sunderland expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.76
Brentford and Sunderland attack and defence ratings
Brentford
Sunderland
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Brentford vs Sunderland: result vs prediction
Brentford 1 – 1 Sunderland
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Brentford vs Sunderland markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brentford | 56.7% | 1.76 | +5.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Brentford win | 41.2% | 2.42 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brentford | 56.7% |
| Draw | 23.7% | |
| Sunderland | 19.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.7% |
| No | 30.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Brentford win | 41.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 38.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.9% |
| 1-1 | 8.2% | |
| 3-1 | 7.5% |
Brentford vs Sunderland stats
Brentford and Sunderland recent form
| Brentford |
DWWDDL |
| Sunderland |
WLWWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Brentford vs Sunderland head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | Brentford | Sunderland | Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Sunderland | Brentford | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2018-02-17 | Sunderland | Brentford | Championship | 0-2 |
| 2017-10-21 | Brentford | Sunderland | Championship | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Brentford vs Sunderland odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.5%, draw 24.5%, away 19.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.63 | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 3.98 | 4.97 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.75 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.75 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.85 | 5.40 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 3.90 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.67 | 3.95 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.75 | 3.92 | 4.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75 | 3.85 | 4.89 |
| SBO | 1.52 | 3.70 | 5.03 |
| Superbet | 1.66 | 4.00 | 5.25 |
| Unibet | 1.66 | 3.80 | 5.50 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.70 | 4.60 |
| codere_it | 1.69 | 3.90 | 4.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
23 snapshots recorded, from .