Sunderland
vs
Hull City
1 – 0 Full time
| 46′ | N. MendyJ. Egan | ||
| 54′ | Lucas Gourna-Douath | ||
| 59′ | M. CrooksJ. Gelhardt | ||
| 60′ | R. VazC. Mouzakitis | ||
| 60′ | L. Gourna-DouathR. Slater | ||
| 62′ | Luke O'Nien | ||
| 65′ | D. MethalieT. Meunier | ||
| 71′ | C. Talbi | ||
| 72′ | John Egan | ||
| 76′ | M. TargettE. Stroud | ||
| 79′ | M. FofanaA. Browne | ||
| 79′ | W. IsidorT. Tuterov | ||
| 86′ | C. TalbiT. Proctor | ||
| 90′ | Elliot Stroud |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 51 | Possession % | 49 |
| 7 | Corners | 12 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 5 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 366 | Accurate passes | 328 |
Sunderland vs Hull City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sunderland vs Hull City
| Probability | Sunderland | Draw | Hull City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.5% | 32.0% | 47.5% |
| Market | 55.5% | 25.0% | 19.5% |
| Final | 46.8% | 26.8% | 26.5% |
| Edge | -35.0% | +7.0% | +28.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sunderland and Hull City expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.99
Sunderland and Hull City attack and defence ratings
Sunderland
Hull City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sunderland vs Hull City: result vs prediction
Sunderland 1 – 0 Hull City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sunderland vs Hull City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sunderland | 46.8% | 2.14 | -35.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sunderland | 46.8% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| Hull City | 26.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.4% |
| No | 61.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sunderland win | 6.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.2% | |
| Loss | 79.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 15.9% |
| 0-0 | 15.0% | |
| 1-1 | 13.9% |
Sunderland vs Hull City stats
Sunderland and Hull City recent form
| Sunderland |
DWLWWD |
| Hull City |
DWDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sunderland vs Hull City head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-22 | Sunderland | Hull City | Championship | 0-1 |
| 2024-10-20 | Hull City | Sunderland | Championship | 0-1 |
| 2024-01-19 | Sunderland | Hull City | Championship | 0-1 |
| 2023-12-26 | Hull City | Sunderland | Championship | 0-1 |
| 2023-04-07 | Sunderland | Hull City | Championship | 4-4 |
| 2022-12-17 | Hull City | Sunderland | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2021-07-30 | Sunderland | Hull City | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2021-04-20 | Hull City | Sunderland | League One | 2-2 |
| 2021-01-09 | Sunderland | Hull City | League One | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sunderland vs Hull City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.5%, draw 25.0%, away 19.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.69 | 3.70 | 4.80 |
| 1xBet | 1.73 | 3.84 | 5.05 |
| 888Sport | 1.67 | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.70 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.80 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.85 | 5.10 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.73 | 3.85 | 4.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 3.84 | 5.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.70 | 3.88 | 5.21 |
| SBO | 1.65 | 3.34 | 4.13 |
| Superbet | 1.72 | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| Unibet | 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.70 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .