Bournemouth
vs
Lincoln
4 – 0 Full time
| 7′ | R. Christie | ||
| 27′ | Callum Elder | ||
| 41′ | Justin Kluivert | ||
| 48′ | Dom Jefferies | ||
| 58′ | J. HonohanA. Coubis | ||
| 58′ | M. LadefogedR. Street | ||
| 61′ | António Silva | ||
| 62′ | J. KluivertA. Toth | ||
| 67′ | Daniel Oyegoke | ||
| 69′ | R. Christie | ||
| 73′ | Y. E. KonakD. Elerewe | ||
| 73′ | C. ElderS. Bradley | ||
| 73′ | D. OyegokeB. House | ||
| 78′ | B. Gannon-DoakM. Tavernier | ||
| 78′ | A. RodriguezD. Jebbison | ||
| 78′ | D. BrooksRayan | ||
| 82′ | A. SilvaJ. Sanchez | ||
| 88′ | R. Christie | ||
| 90′ | Rayan |
Match stats
| 36 | Shots | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 68 | Possession % | 32 |
| 10 | Corners | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 521 | Accurate passes | 207 |
Bournemouth vs Lincoln overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bournemouth vs Lincoln
| Probability | Bournemouth | Draw | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.0% | 24.9% | 51.1% |
| Market | 73.4% | 16.7% | 9.9% |
| Final | 61.1% | 18.7% | 20.2% |
| Edge | -49.5% | +8.3% | +41.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bournemouth and Lincoln expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.05
Bournemouth and Lincoln attack and defence ratings
Bournemouth
Lincoln
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bournemouth vs Lincoln: result vs prediction
Bournemouth 4 – 0 Lincoln
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bournemouth vs Lincoln markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bournemouth | 61.1% | 1.64 | -49.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bournemouth | 61.1% |
| Draw | 18.7% | |
| Lincoln | 20.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% |
| No | 40.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bournemouth win | 10.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.9% | |
| Loss | 76.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 0-2 | 8.0% |
Bournemouth vs Lincoln stats
Bournemouth and Lincoln recent form
| Bournemouth |
DDLDDW |
| Lincoln |
DDWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bournemouth vs Lincoln head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Bournemouth vs Lincoln odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 73.4%, draw 16.7%, away 9.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.30 | 5.20 | 9.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.29 | 6.10 | 10.50 |
| 888Sport | 1.25 | 5.50 | 9.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.27 | 5.25 | 10.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| Betano | 1.35 | 5.60 | 9.25 |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 5.50 | 10.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.33 | 5.80 | 8.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.28 | 6.10 | 10.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27 | 6.15 | 10.11 |
| SBO | 1.26 | 4.94 | 6.76 |
| Superbet | 1.26 | 6.20 | 9.60 |
| Unibet | 1.30 | 5.60 | 8.50 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.50 | 9.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .