League Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

West Ham vs Fulham

2 – 3 Full time

13′Rodrigo Muniz
16′Felipe Morato
37′Cesar Palacios Perez
45′Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus
51′Divine MukasaJarrod Bowen
51′J. AjalaManor Solomon
63′Harrison ReedShea Charles
63′Hugo LarssonManuel Ángel Morán
64′Pablo Felipe Pereira de JesusTaty Castellanos
68′Emile Smith Rowe
68′Rodrigo MunizGonzalo García
69′Kevin Santos Lopes de MacedoOscar Bobb
69′Emile Smith RoweJosh King
78′Oscar Bobb
83′Lewis OrfordJoel Piroe
83′Felipe MoratoOllie Scarles

London Stadium, LondonReferee: G. Ward

West Ham 41%
Draw 25%
Fulham 34%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 6
41 Possession % 59
5 Corners 4
7 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 1
3 Saves 0
355 Accurate passes 632

West Ham vs Fulham overview

Garuda Lions analysis: West Ham vs Fulham

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWest HamDrawFulham
Model61.6%19.4%19.0%
Market34.8%26.8%38.4%
Final41.5%25.0%33.5%
Edge+26.8%-7.4%-19.3%

Confidence: Medium

Why West Ham

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.54 vs 1.40.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices West Ham below the model: +26.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

West Ham ↓ / Fulham → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 5% 2 6% 9% 6% 3 5% 7% 5% 4+ 6% 9% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 75%
No goals 3%

West Ham and Fulham expected goals

West Ham 2.54
Fulham 1.40

Total expected goals: 3.94

West Ham and Fulham attack and defence ratings

West Ham

Attack 1.68 +68%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Fulham

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

West Ham vs Fulham: result vs prediction

West Ham 2 – 3 Fulham

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

League Cup

Before and after this match

West Ham vs Fulham markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 West Ham 41.5% 2.41 +26.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 75.5% 1.32 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.2% 1.42 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.0% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 West Ham win 41.4% 2.42 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2West Ham41.5%
Draw25.0%
Fulham33.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.575.5%
Under 2.524.5%
Both teams to scoreYes70.2%
No29.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.5%
12 (either side)75.0%
X2 (draw or away)58.5%
Handicap -1West Ham win41.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss38.5%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.8%
1-17.6%
3-17.4%

West Ham vs Fulham stats

West Ham and Fulham recent form

newest first
West Ham WWWWDW
Fulham DLLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

West Ham vs Fulham head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4West Ham wins 3Draws 3Fulham wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-04FulhamWest HamPremier League0-1
2025-12-27West HamFulhamPremier League0-1
2025-01-14West HamFulhamPremier League3-2
2024-09-14FulhamWest HamPremier League1-1
2024-04-14West HamFulhamPremier League0-2
2023-12-10FulhamWest HamPremier League5-0
2023-04-08FulhamWest HamPremier League0-1
2022-12-17FulhamWest HamFriendlies Clubs1-1
2022-10-09West HamFulhamPremier League3-1
2021-02-06FulhamWest HamPremier League0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

West Ham vs Fulham odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.9%, draw 26.9%, away 39.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.05 3.55 2.18
1xBet 2.82 3.60 2.50
888Sport 3.10 3.30 2.05
Bet365 2.70 3.50 2.45
BetVictor 2.70 3.70 2.40
Betano 2.77 3.50 2.47
Betfair 2.70 3.50 2.40
Marathonbet 2.82 3.60 2.50
Pinnacle 2.78 3.59 2.50
SBO 2.59 3.34 2.34
Unibet 3.15 3.50 2.12
William Hill 2.70 3.30 2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.70 ▼ -0.40
X 3.50 ▼ -0.02
2 2.45 ▲ +0.32

16 snapshots recorded, from .