Fulham
vs
Manchester United
1 – 1 Full time
| 45′ | Josh King | ||
| 50′ | Timothy Castagne | ||
| 63′ | Lisandro Martínez | ||
| 71′ | Oscar BobbKevin Santos Lopes de Macedo | ||
| 71′ | Alex IwobiCesar Palacios Perez | ||
| 77′ | Sander BergeHugo Larsson | ||
| 77′ | Marcus RashfordJoshua Zirkzee | ||
| 80′ | Gonzalo GarcíaRodrigo Muniz | ||
| 80′ | Josh KingJoachim Andersen | ||
| 80′ | Kobbie MainooMason Mount | ||
| 84′ | Luke ShawPatrick Dorgu | ||
| 85′ | Rodrigo Muniz | ||
| 89′ | Matheus Cunha |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 29 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 3 | Corners | 13 |
| 9 | Fouls | 5 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 5 | Saves | 6 |
| 400 | Accurate passes | 545 |
Fulham vs Manchester United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fulham vs Manchester United
| Probability | Fulham | Draw | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.2% | 22.4% | 39.4% |
| Market | 27.2% | 25.1% | 47.7% |
| Final | 30.0% | 24.4% | 45.6% |
| Edge | +10.9% | -2.6% | -8.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fulham and Manchester United expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.02
Fulham and Manchester United attack and defence ratings
Fulham
Manchester United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fulham vs Manchester United: result vs prediction
Fulham 1 – 1 Manchester United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fulham vs Manchester United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manchester United | 45.6% | 2.19 | -8.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fulham | 30.0% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Manchester United | 45.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.1% |
| No | 22.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Manchester United win | 22.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.8% | |
| Loss | 60.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 7.9% |
| 2-2 | 7.3% | |
| 1-2 | 7.2% |
Fulham vs Manchester United stats
Fulham and Manchester United recent form
| Fulham |
WDLLWL |
| Manchester United |
LLWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fulham vs Manchester United head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | Manchester United | Fulham | Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2025-08-24 | Fulham | Manchester United | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-02 | Manchester United | Fulham | England FA Cup | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-26 | Fulham | Manchester United | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-16 | Manchester United | Fulham | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-02-24 | Manchester United | Fulham | Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2023-11-04 | Fulham | Manchester United | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2023-05-28 | Manchester United | Fulham | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2023-03-19 | Manchester United | Fulham | FA Cup | 3-1 |
| 2022-11-13 | Fulham | Manchester United | Premier League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fulham vs Manchester United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.3%, draw 25.1%, away 47.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.62 | 3.90 | 2.07 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.55 | 3.95 | 2.05 |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 3.56 | 3.84 | 2.04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.53 | 3.86 | 2.03 |
| SBO | 3.15 | 3.48 | 1.98 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| onexbet | 3.63 | 3.88 | 2.07 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
28 snapshots recorded, from .