Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Manchester United
vs
Tottenham
1 – 1 Full time
| 4′ | Conor Gallagher | ||
| 59′ | Amad DialloJoshua Zirkzee | ||
| 59′ | Leny YoroDiogo Dalot | ||
| 59′ | Youri TielemansCarlos Baleba | ||
| 66′ | Lucas BergvallRodrigo Bentancur | ||
| 66′ | Mohammed KudusOmar Marmoush | ||
| 73′ | Bryan Mbeumo | ||
| 74′ | Conor GallagherJames Maddison | ||
| 74′ | Destiny UdogieMicky van de Ven | ||
| 78′ | Rodrigo Bentancur | ||
| 78′ | Jan Paul van Hecke | ||
| 78′ | Luke Shaw | ||
| 84′ | Bruno Fernandes | ||
| 87′ | Lisandro Martínez | ||
| 89′ | Marcos SenesiMateus Fernandes | ||
| 90′ | Dominic Solanke | ||
| 90′ | Matheus CunhaMarcus Rashford | ||
| 90′ | Luke ShawAyden Heaven | ||
| 90′ | Diogo Dalot | ||
| 90′ | Archie Gray |
Manchester United
57%
Draw
22%
Tottenham
21%
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 45 | Possession % | 55 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 389 | Accurate passes | 390 |
Manchester United vs Tottenham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Manchester United vs Tottenham
| Probability | Manchester United | Draw | Tottenham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.5% | 19.9% | 18.7% |
| Market | 55.2% | 23.0% | 21.7% |
| Final | 56.8% | 22.2% | 21.0% |
| Edge | +1.6% | -0.8% | -0.8% |
Why Manchester United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.46 vs 1.42.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
92%
3+ goals
76%
No goals
3%
Manchester United and Tottenham expected goals
Manchester United
2.46
Tottenham
1.42
Total expected goals: 3.88
Manchester United and Tottenham attack and defence ratings
Manchester United
Attack
1.44 +44%
Defence
1.05 +5%
Tottenham
Attack
1.09 +9%
Defence
1.11 +11%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Manchester United vs Tottenham: result vs prediction
Manchester United 1 – 1 Tottenham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Manchester United vs Tottenham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manchester United | 56.8% | 1.76 | +1.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Manchester United win | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manchester United | 56.8% |
| Draw | 22.2% | |
| Tottenham | 21.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.2% |
| No | 28.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Manchester United win | 41.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 38.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.6% |
| 1-1 | 7.7% | |
| 3-1 | 7.4% |
Manchester United vs Tottenham stats
Manchester United and Tottenham recent form
| Manchester United |
DLLWDW |
| Tottenham |
LLDDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Manchester United and Tottenham going into this match
Manchester United record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Tottenham record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
Manchester United vs Tottenham head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Manchester United wins
3Draws
5Tottenham wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Manchester United | Tottenham | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Tottenham | Manchester United | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-21 | Tottenham | Manchester United | UEFA Europa League | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-16 | Tottenham | Manchester United | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-12-19 | Tottenham | Manchester United | League Cup | 4-3 |
| 2024-09-29 | Manchester United | Tottenham | Premier League | 0-3 |
| 2024-01-14 | Manchester United | Tottenham | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2023-08-19 | Tottenham | Manchester United | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2023-04-27 | Tottenham | Manchester United | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2022-10-19 | Manchester United | Tottenham | Premier League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Manchester United vs Tottenham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.3%, draw 22.9%, away 21.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.76 | 4.32 | 4.68 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 4.10 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 4.15 | 4.25 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 4.10 | 4.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.73 | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.73 | 4.25 | 4.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75 | 4.23 | 4.45 |
| SBO | 1.72 | 4.02 | 4.07 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.73 ▲ +0.06
X
4.15 ▼ -0.15
2
4.40 ▼ -0.35
56 snapshots recorded, from .