Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Ipswich vs Fulham

2 – 1 Full time

19′Leif Davis
44′Josh King
51′Calvin Bassey
55′Ryan Sessegnon
63′Florentino LuísExequiel Palacios
63′Jaden Philogene-BidaceJack Clarke
71′Julio EncisoChuba Akpom
71′EmersonnZian Flemming
71′Shea CharlesManuel Ángel Morán
76′Josh KingRodrigo Muniz
76′Oscar BobbKevin Santos Lopes de Macedo
81′Daizen MaedaSindre Walle Egeli
84′Manuel Ángel Morán
87′Gonzalo GarcíaHugo Larsson
87′Alex IwobiEmile Smith Rowe
88′Abdoul Ouattara
90′Dara O'Shea
90′Emile Smith Rowe
90′Christian Walton

Portman Road Stadium, IpswichReferee: Lewis Smith

Ipswich 37%
Draw 26%
Fulham 37%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
48 Possession % 52
2 Corners 5
8 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1
3 Saves 3
389 Accurate passes 420

Ipswich vs Fulham overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ipswich vs Fulham

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityIpswichDrawFulham
Model44.2%22.3%33.5%
Market34.6%27.3%38.2%
Final37.0%26.0%37.0%
Edge+2.4%-1.2%-1.2%

Confidence: Medium · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ipswich ↓ / Fulham → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 7% 4% 2 8% 7% 5% 3 6% 5% 4+ 5% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 78%
No goals 3%

Ipswich and Fulham expected goals

Ipswich 2.10
Fulham 1.92

Total expected goals: 4.01

Ipswich and Fulham attack and defence ratings

Ipswich

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Fulham

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ipswich vs Fulham: result vs prediction

Ipswich 2 – 1 Fulham

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Premier League

Before and after this match

Ipswich vs Fulham markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Fulham 37.0% 2.70 -1.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 77.9% 1.28 — —
Both teams to score Yes 76.9% 1.30 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.0% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.5% 1.50 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ipswich37.0%
Draw26.0%
Fulham37.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.577.9%
Under 2.522.1%
Both teams to scoreYes76.9%
No23.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.0%
12 (either side)74.0%
X2 (draw or away)63.0%
Handicap -1Fulham win18.2%
Push (exactly one goal)15.3%
Loss66.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-17.9%
2-17.6%
2-27.2%

Ipswich vs Fulham stats

Ipswich and Fulham recent form

newest first
Ipswich LLWLLW
Fulham DWDLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ipswich and Fulham going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ipswich record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Fulham record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

Ipswich vs Fulham head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Ipswich wins 3Draws 6Fulham wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-01-05FulhamIpswichPremier League2-2
2024-08-31IpswichFulhamPremier League1-1
2023-11-01IpswichFulhamLeague Cup1-3
2020-09-16IpswichFulhamLeague Cup0-1
2018-01-02FulhamIpswichChampionship4-1
2017-08-26IpswichFulhamChampionship0-2
2017-04-08FulhamIpswichChampionship3-1
2016-12-26IpswichFulhamChampionship0-2
2016-04-19IpswichFulhamChampionship1-1
2015-12-15FulhamIpswichChampionship1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ipswich vs Fulham odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.6%, draw 27.3%, away 38.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.78 3.64 2.63
Bet365 2.80 3.40 2.50
BetVictor 2.70 3.60 2.45
Betano 2.77 3.50 2.47
Betfair 2.80 3.50 2.50
Dafabet 2.75 3.50 2.55
Marathonbet 2.70 3.54 2.56
Pinnacle 2.85 3.49 2.52
SBO 2.59 3.15 2.45
William Hill 2.62 3.40 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.76 ▼ -0.14
X 3.50 —
2 2.50 ▲ +0.12

55 snapshots recorded, from .