Ipswich
vs
Fulham
Garuda Lions Prediction: Fulham
1 – 2 Predicted score · 7% model probability
Ipswich vs Fulham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ipswich vs Fulham
| Probability | Ipswich | Draw | Fulham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.2% | 22.3% | 33.5% |
| Market | 34.5% | 27.0% | 38.5% |
| Final | 36.9% | 25.8% | 37.3% |
| Edge | +9.7% | -4.8% | -5.0% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.55, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Ipswich vs Fulham match preview
Ipswich faces Fulham in a Premier League clash with both teams showing mixed recent form. Ipswich's last five matches resulted in two wins and three losses, while Fulham has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss. The model indicates a balanced matchup, with Ipswich and Fulham each holding a 37% probability of winning, and a 26% chance of a draw.
The expected goals suggest a competitive encounter, with Ipswich at 2.09 and Fulham at 1.92. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 78%, and both teams to score is at 77%. Historically, the last two meetings between these sides ended in draws, with Ipswich yet to secure a win against Fulham. The most probable scoreline is 1-2, with a 7% likelihood.
Ipswich and Fulham team news
Ipswich news
- I. Fatawu — suspended
Fulham news
- K. Tete — concussion
- T. Cairney — knee injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ipswich and Fulham expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.01
Ipswich and Fulham attack and defence ratings
Ipswich
Fulham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ipswich vs Fulham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fulham | 37.3% | 2.68 | -5.0% | 2.55 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ipswich | 36.9% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Fulham | 37.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.9% |
| No | 23.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fulham win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.3% | |
| Loss | 66.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 7.9% |
| 2-1 | 7.6% | |
| 2-2 | 7.2% |
Ipswich vs Fulham stats
Ipswich and Fulham recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ipswich and Fulham season so far
Ipswich record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Fulham record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Ipswich vs Fulham head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-05 | Fulham | Ipswich | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2024-08-31 | Ipswich | Fulham | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2023-11-01 | Ipswich | Fulham | League Cup | 1-3 |
| 2020-09-16 | Ipswich | Fulham | League Cup | 0-1 |
| 2018-01-02 | Fulham | Ipswich | Championship | 4-1 |
| 2017-08-26 | Ipswich | Fulham | Championship | 0-2 |
| 2017-04-08 | Fulham | Ipswich | Championship | 3-1 |
| 2016-12-26 | Ipswich | Fulham | Championship | 0-2 |
| 2016-04-19 | Ipswich | Fulham | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2015-12-15 | Fulham | Ipswich | Championship | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ipswich vs Fulham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.5%, draw 27.0%, away 38.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.90 | 3.64 | 2.53 |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.77 | 3.50 | 2.47 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.55 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.82 | 3.54 | 2.46 |
| Pinnacle | 2.86 | 3.61 | 2.47 |
| SBO | 2.65 | 3.21 | 2.26 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
54 snapshots recorded, from .