Manchester City
vs
Ipswich
3 – 2 Full time
| 19′ | Phil Foden | ||
| 21′ | Daizen Maeda | ||
| 34′ | Erling Haaland | ||
| 50′ | Mateo KovačićEnzo Fernández | ||
| 61′ | Nico O'ReillyJosko Gvardiol | ||
| 69′ | Erling Haaland | ||
| 71′ | Florentino LuísAzor Matusiwa | ||
| 71′ | Daizen MaedaAbdul Fatawu Issahaku | ||
| 73′ | Abdoul Ouattara | ||
| 76′ | Matheus NunesAbdukodir Khusanov | ||
| 77′ | Phil FodenElliot Anderson | ||
| 77′ | Jeremy DokuAntoine Semenyo | ||
| 78′ | EmersonnZian Flemming | ||
| 78′ | Julio EncisoChuba Akpom | ||
| 90′ | Zian Flemming | ||
| 90′ | Jacob GreavesJack Clarke | ||
| 90′ | Josko Gvardiol | ||
| 90′ | Leif Davis |
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 70 | Possession % | 30 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Offsides | 5 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 674 | Accurate passes | 253 |
Manchester City vs Ipswich overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Manchester City vs Ipswich
| Probability | Manchester City | Draw | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.2% | 18.0% | 16.9% |
| Market | 76.5% | 14.3% | 9.2% |
| Final | 73.7% | 15.2% | 11.1% |
| Edge | -11.3% | +3.7% | +7.6% |
Why Manchester City
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.72 vs 1.48.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Manchester City and Ipswich expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.20
Manchester City and Ipswich attack and defence ratings
Manchester City
Ipswich
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Manchester City vs Ipswich: result vs prediction
Manchester City 3 – 2 Ipswich
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Manchester City vs Ipswich markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manchester City | 73.7% | 1.36 | -11.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.9% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Manchester City win | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manchester City | 73.7% |
| Draw | 15.2% | |
| Ipswich | 11.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 19.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.6% |
| No | 26.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 26.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Manchester City win | 46.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 35.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.9% |
| 3-1 | 7.5% | |
| 1-1 | 6.4% |
Manchester City vs Ipswich stats
Manchester City and Ipswich recent form
| Manchester City |
LWWWWW |
| Ipswich |
WLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Manchester City and Ipswich going into this match
Manchester City record
- They have won 6 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Ipswich record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
Manchester City vs Ipswich head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-19 | Ipswich | Manchester City | Premier League | 0-6 |
| 2024-08-24 | Manchester City | Ipswich | Premier League | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Manchester City vs Ipswich odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 76.3%, draw 14.3%, away 9.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.28 | 7.01 | 10.90 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 6.50 | 9.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 6.50 | 10.00 |
| Betano | 1.26 | 6.10 | 10.50 |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.26 | 6.80 | 10.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.26 | 6.90 | 10.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.24 | 6.93 | 10.87 |
| SBO | 1.21 | 5.70 | 8.49 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 6.00 | 9.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
55 snapshots recorded, from .