Manchester City
vs
AEK Athens FC
5 – 1 Full time
| 12′ | Elliot Anderson | ||
| 34′ | Phil Foden | ||
| 45′ | Răzvan MarinAboubakary Koita | ||
| 45′ | Barnabás VargaAmbrósini António Cabaça Salvador | ||
| 52′ | Stavros Pilios | ||
| 57′ | Rayan Cherki | ||
| 59′ | Josko Gvardiol | ||
| 62′ | Floyd SambaRyan McAidoo | ||
| 63′ | João MárioOleksandr Zubkov | ||
| 65′ | Phil Foden | ||
| 72′ | Josko GvardiolVitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis | ||
| 72′ | Enzo FernándezRayan Aït-Nouri | ||
| 76′ | Phil Foden | ||
| 83′ | Rúben DiasKaden Braithwaite | ||
| 83′ | Kervin ArriagaMijat Gaćinović | ||
| 83′ | Luka JovicMilan Vitális |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 64 | Possession % | 36 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 6 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 636 | Accurate passes | 345 |
Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC
| Probability | Manchester City | Draw | AEK Athens FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.6% | 24.4% | 39.0% |
| Market | 85.6% | 9.5% | 4.9% |
| Final | 73.3% | 13.2% | 13.4% |
| Edge | -12.2% | +3.7% | +8.5% |
Why Manchester City
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Manchester City and AEK Athens FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.44
Manchester City and AEK Athens FC attack and defence ratings
Manchester City
AEK Athens FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC: result vs prediction
Manchester City 5 – 1 AEK Athens FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe v Slavia Praha — match page
- Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund — team news & stats
- Liverpool vs Villarreal
- Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona — team news & stats
- VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid
- FC Porto v PSV Eindhoven — match page
- Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt — team news & stats
- Roma vs Slovan Bratislava
Before and after this match
Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manchester City | 73.3% | 1.36 | -12.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manchester City | 73.3% |
| Draw | 13.2% | |
| AEK Athens FC | 13.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.4% |
| No | 31.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 26.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Manchester City win | 18.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.5% | |
| Loss | 63.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.3% | |
| 2-1 | 8.0% |
Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC stats
Manchester City and AEK Athens FC recent form
| Manchester City |
WLWWWW |
| AEK Athens FC |
LWWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 85.6%, draw 9.5%, away 4.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.16 | 10.60 | 17.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.11 | 9.50 | 19.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.10 | 10.50 | 20.00 |
| Betano | 1.14 | 10.00 | 22.00 |
| Betfair | 1.11 | 11.00 | 21.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.12 | 10.00 | 20.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.14 | 10.25 | 17.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.12 | 10.19 | 21.78 |
| SBO | 1.12 | 9.26 | 16.36 |
| William Hill | 1.12 | 9.00 | 17.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .