FC Porto
vs
PSV Eindhoven
0 – 1 Full time
| 39′ | Lutsharel Geertruida | ||
| 57′ | Guus Til | ||
| 58′ | Samuel AghehowaAndré Silva | ||
| 58′ | Oskar PietuszewskiBorja Sainz | ||
| 58′ | Gabri VeigaHwang In-Beom | ||
| 69′ | Zaidu SanusiJoão Victor de Souza Menezes | ||
| 74′ | Yarek GasiorowskiArmando Obispo | ||
| 75′ | Mauro Júnior | ||
| 76′ | Victor FroholdtSeko Fofana | ||
| 81′ | Mauro JúniorNoah Fernandez | ||
| 81′ | Esmir BajraktarevićDennis Man | ||
| 88′ | Ivan PerišićAmir Bouhamdi | ||
| 88′ | Filip KostićRyan Flamingo |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 9 |
| 5 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 339 | Accurate passes | 526 |
FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven
| Probability | FC Porto | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.9% | 24.1% | 27.0% |
| Market | 62.5% | 20.8% | 16.7% |
| Final | 59.1% | 21.6% | 19.3% |
| Edge | -3.4% | +0.8% | +2.6% |
Why FC Porto
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.40.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Porto and PSV Eindhoven expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.33
FC Porto and PSV Eindhoven attack and defence ratings
FC Porto
PSV Eindhoven
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven: result vs prediction
FC Porto 0 – 1 PSV Eindhoven
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe v Slavia Praha — match page
- Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund — team news & stats
- Liverpool vs Villarreal
- Manchester City v AEK Athens FC — match page
- Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona — team news & stats
- VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid
- Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt — team news & stats
- Roma vs Slovan Bratislava
Before and after this match
FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Porto | 59.1% | 1.69 | -3.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Porto | 59.1% |
| Draw | 21.6% | |
| PSV Eindhoven | 19.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% |
| No | 34.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Porto win | 28.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 51.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-2 | 6.8% |
FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven stats
FC Porto and PSV Eindhoven recent form
| FC Porto |
LWWWLW |
| PSV Eindhoven |
LLWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 62.5%, draw 20.8%, away 16.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.57 | 4.78 | 5.90 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.60 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 4.60 | 5.70 |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 4.60 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.54 | 4.70 | 5.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 4.65 | 5.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.54 | 4.59 | 5.85 |
| SBO | 1.51 | 4.27 | 5.61 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 4.33 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .