Real Betis
vs
FC Porto
3 – 2 Full time
| 42′ | Francesco Farioli | ||
| 47′ | Abde Ezzalzouli | ||
| 54′ | Gabri Veiga | ||
| 56′ | André Silva | ||
| 56′ | Nelson Deossa | ||
| 56′ | Abde Ezzalzouli | ||
| 59′ | Borja SainzOskar Pietuszewski | ||
| 59′ | André SilvaSamuel Aghehowa | ||
| 59′ | Martim FernandesAlberto Costa | ||
| 61′ | Samuel Aghehowa | ||
| 62′ | Nelson DeossaDani Ceballos | ||
| 62′ | Troy ParrottCucho Hernández | ||
| 71′ | Gabri VeigaHwang In-Beom | ||
| 73′ | Alan Gonzalo Varela | ||
| 74′ | Cucho Hernández | ||
| 77′ | Dani Ceballos | ||
| 84′ | Isco | ||
| 85′ | Eduardo Gabriel Aquino CossaSantiago Giménez | ||
| 86′ | Santiago Giménez | ||
| 87′ | IscoFacundo Bernal | ||
| 87′ | Marc RocaPablo Fornals | ||
| 90′ | Antony Matheus dos SantosRodrigo Riquelme | ||
| 90′ | Ángel Ortiz |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 438 | Accurate passes | 319 |
Real Betis vs FC Porto overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Real Betis vs FC Porto
| Probability | Real Betis | Draw | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.8% | 26.3% | 40.9% |
| Market | 46.5% | 25.6% | 27.9% |
| Final | 43.1% | 25.8% | 31.1% |
| Edge | -3.4% | +0.2% | +3.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Real Betis and FC Porto expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.02
Real Betis and FC Porto attack and defence ratings
Real Betis
FC Porto
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Real Betis vs FC Porto: result vs prediction
Real Betis 3 – 2 FC Porto
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Real Betis vs FC Porto markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Betis | 43.1% | 2.32 | -3.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Betis | 43.1% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| FC Porto | 31.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.8% |
| No | 38.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Betis win | 15.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.2% | |
| Loss | 67.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 2-1 | 7.9% |
Real Betis vs FC Porto stats
Real Betis and FC Porto recent form
| Real Betis |
WDWWWW |
| FC Porto |
WWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Real Betis vs FC Porto head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Real Betis vs FC Porto odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.5%, draw 25.6%, away 27.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.11 | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.85 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.08 | 3.70 | 3.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.05 | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07 | 3.75 | 3.58 |
| SBO | 2.02 | 3.38 | 3.25 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
16 snapshots recorded, from .