Real Betis
vs
FC Porto
Garuda Lions Prediction: Real Betis
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Real Betis vs FC Porto overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Real Betis vs FC Porto
| Probability | Real Betis | Draw | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.5% | 26.4% | 43.1% |
| Market | 43.7% | 26.2% | 30.1% |
| Final | 40.4% | 26.2% | 33.4% |
| Edge | -13.2% | +0.3% | +12.9% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.27, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Real Betis vs FC Porto match preview
Real Betis will face FC Porto in the UEFA Champions League, with kickoff scheduled for October 14, 2026. The model suggests a 40% probability of a Real Betis victory, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 33% likelihood of an FC Porto win. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Real Betis, with an 8% probability. The expectation for over 2.5 goals stands at 57%, while both teams scoring is projected at 60%.
In terms of recent form, Real Betis has recorded a draw followed by four wins and one loss, while FC Porto boasts a strong run with five consecutive wins and one loss. Expected goals indicate Real Betis at 1.34 and FC Porto at 1.63, reflecting a competitive matchup. The confidence grade for this analysis is B, incorporating both model predictions and market odds.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Real Betis and FC Porto expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.96
Real Betis and FC Porto attack and defence ratings
Real Betis
FC Porto
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Real Betis vs FC Porto markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Betis | 40.4% | 2.48 | -13.2% | 2.27 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Betis | 40.4% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| FC Porto | 33.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.4% |
| No | 39.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Betis win | 13.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.6% | |
| Loss | 69.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 2-1 | 7.5% |
Real Betis vs FC Porto stats
Real Betis and FC Porto recent form
| Real Betis |
DWWWWL |
| FC Porto |
WWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Real Betis vs FC Porto head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Real Betis vs FC Porto odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.7%, draw 26.2%, away 30.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.27 | 3.72 | 3.26 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.20 | 3.60 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.21 | 3.62 | 3.18 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16 | 3.68 | 3.16 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 3.16 | 2.84 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .