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La Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

Real Betis vs Osasuna

5 – 2 Full time

10′Isco
31′Abde Ezzalzouli
41′Jon Moncayola
45′Unai Santos
45′Cucho Hernández
45′Unai SantosAsier Osambela
48′Ante Budimir
51′Ante Budimir
56′Raul García
63′Íñigo ArguibideValentin Rosier
63′Jon MoncayolaMauro Echegoyen
64′Lucas Torró
67′Isco
73′Rodrigo RiquelmeAntony Matheus dos Santos
74′IscoDani Ceballos
74′Rubén GarcíaJonathan Dubasin
79′Raul GarcíaIker Muñoz Cameros
81′Marc Roca
81′Cucho HernándezTroy Parrott
81′Pablo FornalsNelson Deossa
88′Valentin Rosier
90′Abde EzzalzouliJosé Antonio Morante Antúnez
90′José Antonio Morante Antúnez
90′Alejandro Catena

Estadio de la Cartuja, SevilleReferee: Carlos Muñiz Muñoz

Real Betis 63%
Draw 21%
Osasuna 16%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 5
52 Possession % 48
8 Corners 4
11 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 2
3 Saves 3
453 Accurate passes 413

Real Betis vs Osasuna overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Real Betis vs Osasuna

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityReal BetisDrawOsasuna
Model61.8%20.8%17.4%
Market63.9%20.9%15.2%
Final63.4%20.9%15.8%
Edge-0.5%-0.0%+0.5%

Confidence: High · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Real Betis

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 1.34.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Real Betis ↓ / Osasuna → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 5% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 6% 8% 5% 4+ 6% 9% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 4%

Real Betis and Osasuna expected goals

Real Betis 2.40
Osasuna 1.34

Total expected goals: 3.74

Real Betis and Osasuna attack and defence ratings

Real Betis

Attack 1.31 +31%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Osasuna

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Real Betis vs Osasuna: result vs prediction

Real Betis 5 – 2 Osasuna

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

La Liga

Before and after this match

Real Betis vs Osasuna markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Real Betis 63.4% 1.58 -0.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 74.1% 1.35 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.3% 1.44 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.2% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Real Betis win 42.2% 2.37 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Real Betis63.4%
Draw20.9%
Osasuna15.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.574.1%
Under 2.525.9%
Both teams to scoreYes69.3%
No30.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.2%
12 (either side)79.1%
X2 (draw or away)36.6%
Handicap -1Real Betis win42.2%
Push (exactly one goal)19.6%
Loss38.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.0%
1-18.5%
3-17.5%

Real Betis vs Osasuna stats

Real Betis and Osasuna recent form

newest first
Real Betis DWWWWL
Osasuna DLLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Real Betis and Osasuna going into this match

league record before kick-off

Real Betis record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Osasuna record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Real Betis vs Osasuna head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Real Betis wins 3Draws 1Osasuna wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-12OsasunaReal BetisLa Liga1-1
2025-09-28Real BetisOsasunaLa Liga2-0
2025-05-11Real BetisOsasunaLa Liga1-1
2024-10-19OsasunaReal BetisLa Liga1-2
2024-05-05OsasunaReal BetisLa Liga0-2
2023-10-29Real BetisOsasunaLa Liga2-1
2023-04-22OsasunaReal BetisLa Liga3-2
2023-01-18Real BetisOsasunaCopa del Rey2-2
2022-08-26Real BetisOsasunaLa Liga1-0
2022-04-03Real BetisOsasunaLa Liga4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Real Betis vs Osasuna odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 63.9%, draw 20.9%, away 15.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.56 4.68 6.30
Bet365 1.50 4.33 6.50
BetVictor 1.45 4.60 6.50
Betano 1.53 4.65 6.30
Betfair 1.44 4.50 6.50
Dafabet 1.51 4.70 6.20
Marathonbet 1.53 4.60 6.20
Pinnacle 1.50 4.58 6.60
SBO 1.46 4.37 6.09
William Hill 1.50 4.20 6.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.50 ▼ -0.07
X 4.59 ▲ +0.29
2 6.30 ▲ +0.67

48 snapshots recorded, from .