Real Betis
vs
Osasuna
Garuda Lions Prediction: Real Betis
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Real Betis vs Osasuna overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Real Betis vs Osasuna
| Probability | Real Betis | Draw | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.7% | 20.9% | 17.4% |
| Market | 62.4% | 21.8% | 15.8% |
| Final | 62.2% | 21.5% | 16.2% |
| Edge | -0.8% | -0.9% | +1.6% |
Why Real Betis
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 1.34.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.60, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Real Betis vs Osasuna match preview
Real Betis enters this matchup against Osasuna with a strong probability of winning at 60%, bolstered by their recent form of four wins and a draw in their last six matches. The expected goals for Real Betis stand at 2.40, indicating a potent offensive performance, while Osasuna is projected to score 1.34 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% probability, suggesting a competitive encounter.
Osasuna, on the other hand, has struggled recently, recording two wins and four losses in their last six games. Their head-to-head record against Real Betis is unfavorable, with Betis winning four of the last six encounters and the teams drawing twice. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 74%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 69%, highlighting the potential for an engaging match.
Real Betis and Osasuna team news
Real Betis news
- A. Ruibal — knee injury
- J. Firpo — groin injury
- M. Bartra — injury
Osasuna news
- J. Herrando — muscle injury
- R. Moro — muscle injury
- V. Rosier — hamstring injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Real Betis and Osasuna expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.73
Real Betis and Osasuna attack and defence ratings
Real Betis
Osasuna
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Real Betis vs Osasuna markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Betis | 62.2% | 1.61 | -0.8% | 1.60 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Real Betis win | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Betis | 62.2% |
| Draw | 21.5% | |
| Osasuna | 16.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.2% |
| No | 30.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Betis win | 42.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 38.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.0% |
| 1-1 | 8.6% | |
| 3-1 | 7.5% |
Real Betis vs Osasuna stats
Real Betis and Osasuna recent form
| Real Betis |
DWWWWL |
| Osasuna |
DLLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Real Betis and Osasuna season so far
Real Betis record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Osasuna record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Real Betis vs Osasuna head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Osasuna | Real Betis | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Real Betis | Osasuna | La Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-11 | Real Betis | Osasuna | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Osasuna | Real Betis | La Liga | 1-2 |
| 2024-05-05 | Osasuna | Real Betis | La Liga | 0-2 |
| 2023-10-29 | Real Betis | Osasuna | La Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Real Betis vs Osasuna odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 62.4%, draw 21.8%, away 15.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.60 | 4.42 | 6.06 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 4.10 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.52 | 4.45 | 6.00 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.54 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 4.30 | 5.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 4.62 | 6.20 |
| SBO | 1.46 | 3.89 | 5.42 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.20 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
44 snapshots recorded, from .