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La Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

Elche vs Celta Vigo

0 – 0 Full time

37′Yoel Lago
59′Javier Rueda García
59′Tete MorenteAbiel Alessio Osorio
60′Pablo Durán FernándezBorja Iglesias
71′Ferran JutglàWilliot Swedberg
71′Hugo Alvarez AntunezCouhaib Driouech
71′Javi GalánSergio Carreira Vilarino
71′Gonzalo VillarMartim Neto
71′Fernando Niño RodríguezLucas Cepeda
81′Aleix Febas
83′Aleix FebasHugo Burcio
87′Thomas LemarFacundo Buonanotte
90′Marc Aguado

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, ElcheReferee: Javier Alberola Rojas

Elche 35%
Draw 29%
Celta Vigo 35%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 0
66 Possession % 34
5 Corners 2
19 Fouls 21
0 Offsides 3
0 Saves 2
598 Accurate passes 280

Elche vs Celta Vigo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Elche vs Celta Vigo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityElcheDrawCelta Vigo
Model44.2%28.7%27.1%
Market32.3%29.5%38.2%
Final35.3%29.3%35.4%
Edge+3.0%-0.2%-2.8%

Confidence: High · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Elche ↓ / Celta Vigo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 14% 7% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 8%

Elche and Celta Vigo expected goals

Elche 1.57
Celta Vigo 1.26

Total expected goals: 2.83

Elche and Celta Vigo attack and defence ratings

Elche

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Celta Vigo

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Elche vs Celta Vigo: result vs prediction

Elche 0 – 0 Celta Vigo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

La Liga

Before and after this match

Elche vs Celta Vigo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Celta Vigo 35.4% 2.82 -2.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.7% 1.80 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.2% 1.66 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.7% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 72.9% 1.37 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Elche35.3%
Draw29.3%
Celta Vigo35.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.7%
Under 2.544.3%
Both teams to scoreYes60.2%
No39.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.6%
12 (either side)70.7%
X2 (draw or away)64.7%
Handicap -1Celta Vigo win12.4%
Push (exactly one goal)14.7%
Loss72.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
2-19.3%
0-07.7%

Elche vs Celta Vigo stats

Elche and Celta Vigo recent form

newest first
Elche WLDLLL
Celta Vigo WLDDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Elche and Celta Vigo going into this match

league record before kick-off

Elche record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Celta Vigo record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Elche vs Celta Vigo head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Elche wins 2Draws 6Celta Vigo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-03Celta VigoElcheLa Liga3-1
2025-09-28ElcheCelta VigoLa Liga2-1
2023-04-26Celta VigoElcheLa Liga1-0
2023-01-06ElcheCelta VigoLa Liga0-1
2022-05-15Celta VigoElcheLa Liga1-0
2021-10-03ElcheCelta VigoLa Liga1-0
2021-02-12Celta VigoElcheLa Liga3-1
2020-11-06ElcheCelta VigoLa Liga1-1
2015-03-02Celta VigoElcheLa Liga1-1
2014-09-26ElcheCelta VigoLa Liga0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Elche vs Celta Vigo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.3%, draw 29.5%, away 38.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.06 3.32 2.58
Bet365 3.00 3.20 2.40
BetVictor 2.88 3.40 2.40
Betano 2.87 3.25 2.52
Betfair 3.00 3.25 2.50
Dafabet 2.95 3.25 2.55
Marathonbet 2.98 3.24 2.51
Pinnacle 3.02 3.30 2.51
SBO 2.66 3.00 2.50
William Hill 2.90 3.10 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.96 ▲ +0.05
X 3.25 ▼ -0.01
2 2.50 ▼ -0.01

47 snapshots recorded, from .