Racing Santander
vs
Valencia
2 – 2 Full time
| 2′ | Daniel Raba Antolín | ||
| 22′ | Pablo Ramon Parra | ||
| 32′ | Yassir Zabiri | ||
| 45′ | Guido Rodríguez | ||
| 45′ | Jorge Salinas Viadero | ||
| 45′ | Daniel Raba Antolín | ||
| 45′ | Mouctar DiakhabyArnaut Danjuma | ||
| 47′ | Iván Martín | ||
| 58′ | Filip UgrinicDavid Otorbi Ejededawe | ||
| 58′ | Daniel Raba AntolínHarvey Elliott | ||
| 61′ | André AlmeidaAndrés Martín | ||
| 61′ | Pablo Ramon ParraAarón Martin Caricol | ||
| 65′ | David Otorbi Ejededawe | ||
| 72′ | Pablo Maffeo | ||
| 75′ | Sergio CanalesPablo García | ||
| 85′ | Javi GuerraAliou Dieng | ||
| 86′ | Pablo MaffeoArnau Martínez López | ||
| 87′ | Matteo PratiMaguette Gueye | ||
| 87′ | Yassir ZabiriAsier Villalibre | ||
| 90′ | Iván Martín |
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 9 |
| 446 | Accurate passes | 351 |
Racing Santander vs Valencia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Racing Santander vs Valencia
| Probability | Racing Santander | Draw | Valencia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.7% | 20.8% | 17.5% |
| Market | 42.6% | 27.3% | 30.1% |
| Final | 47.4% | 25.7% | 27.0% |
| Edge | +4.8% | -1.6% | -3.1% |
Why Racing Santander
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 1.34.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Racing Santander below our published probability: +4.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Racing Santander and Valencia expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.75
Racing Santander and Valencia attack and defence ratings
Racing Santander
Valencia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Racing Santander vs Valencia: result vs prediction
Racing Santander 2 – 2 Valencia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Racing Santander vs Valencia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Racing Santander | 47.4% | 2.11 | +4.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Racing Santander win | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Racing Santander | 47.4% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Valencia | 27.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.5% |
| No | 30.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Racing Santander win | 42.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 38.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.9% |
| 1-1 | 8.5% | |
| 3-1 | 7.5% |
Racing Santander vs Valencia stats
Racing Santander and Valencia recent form
| Racing Santander |
LLWLWL |
| Valencia |
LWLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Racing Santander and Valencia going into this match
Racing Santander record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Valencia record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Racing Santander vs Valencia head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-01-29 | Racing Santander | Valencia | La Liga | 2-2 |
| 2011-08-27 | Valencia | Racing Santander | La Liga | 4-3 |
| 2011-01-31 | Racing Santander | Valencia | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2010-09-11 | Valencia | Racing Santander | La Liga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Racing Santander vs Valencia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.6%, draw 27.3%, away 30.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.33 | 3.54 | 3.29 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.26 | 3.60 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.27 | 3.44 | 3.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25 | 3.59 | 3.28 |
| SBO | 2.24 | 3.39 | 2.95 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
48 snapshots recorded, from .