Racing Santander
vs
Valencia
Garuda Lions Prediction: Racing Santander
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Racing Santander vs Valencia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Racing Santander vs Valencia
| Probability | Racing Santander | Draw | Valencia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.5% | 20.9% | 17.6% |
| Market | 40.9% | 27.2% | 32.0% |
| Final | 46.0% | 25.6% | 28.4% |
| Edge | +20.6% | -6.3% | -14.4% |
Why Racing Santander
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 1.35.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Racing Santander below the model: +20.6 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.42, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Racing Santander vs Valencia match preview
Racing Santander hosts Valencia in a La Liga clash with Racing holding a probability of 47% for victory, while Valencia stands at 29%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Racing, with an expected goals tally of 2.40 for Racing and 1.35 for Valencia.
Both teams are struggling with recent form; Racing Santander has recorded two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while Valencia has experienced six consecutive losses, with only one win in their last six. The match shows a high likelihood of goals, with a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% probability that both teams will score.
Racing Santander and Valencia team news
Racing Santander news
- S. Eriksson — shoulder injury
Valencia news
- A. Danjuma — injury
- D. Foulquier — injury
- D. Lopez — knee injury
- J. Copete — ankle injury
- M. Diakhaby — muscle injury
- S. Canos — knee injury
- U. Sadiq — muscle injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Racing Santander and Valencia expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.75
Racing Santander and Valencia attack and defence ratings
Racing Santander
Valencia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Racing Santander vs Valencia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Racing Santander | 46.0% | 2.17 | +20.6% | 2.42 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Racing Santander win | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Racing Santander | 46.0% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Valencia | 28.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.5% |
| No | 30.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Racing Santander win | 42.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 38.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.9% |
| 1-1 | 8.5% | |
| 3-1 | 7.5% |
Racing Santander vs Valencia stats
Racing Santander and Valencia recent form
| Racing Santander |
LLWLWL |
| Valencia |
LWLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Racing Santander and Valencia season so far
Racing Santander record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
Valencia record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They average 0.7 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Racing Santander vs Valencia head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Racing Santander vs Valencia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.9%, draw 27.2%, away 32.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.42 | 3.72 | 3.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.35 | 3.50 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.35 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.36 | 3.62 | 2.92 |
| Pinnacle | 2.39 | 3.55 | 3.01 |
| SBO | 2.23 | 3.25 | 2.68 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
44 snapshots recorded, from .