Barcelona
vs
Getafe
Garuda Lions Prediction: Barcelona
3 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Barcelona vs Getafe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Barcelona vs Getafe
| Probability | Barcelona | Draw | Getafe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 86.3% | 9.8% | 3.9% |
| Market | 88.3% | 7.9% | 3.7% |
| Final | 87.8% | 8.4% | 3.8% |
| Edge | -2.0% | +1.9% | +0.2% |
Why Barcelona
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.44 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.10, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Barcelona vs Getafe match preview
Barcelona is heavily favored in their upcoming La Liga match against Getafe, with model probabilities indicating an 88% chance of victory for the home side. The expected goals tally suggests a dominant performance, with Barcelona projected to score 3.44 goals compared to Getafe's 0.82. Recent form further supports this outlook, as Barcelona has won their last six matches, while Getafe has struggled with only one win in their last six outings.
Historically, Barcelona has had the upper hand in their encounters with Getafe, winning four of the last six meetings and drawing the other two. The most likely scoreline for this match is 3-0, occurring with a 9% probability. Additionally, there is an 82% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals, while both teams scoring stands at 55%.
Barcelona and Getafe team news
Barcelona news
- A. Christensen — muscle injury
- F. de Jong — knee injury
- J. Garcia — knee injury
- R. Bardghji — knee injury
- Raphinha — muscle injury
Getafe news
- A. Abqar — muscle injury
- C. Uche — knee injury
- Juanmi — knee injury
- M. Satriano — knee injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Barcelona and Getafe expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.26
Barcelona and Getafe attack and defence ratings
Barcelona
Getafe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Barcelona vs Getafe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barcelona | 87.8% | 1.14 | -2.0% | 1.10 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Barcelona win | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barcelona | 87.8% |
| Draw | 8.4% | |
| Getafe | 3.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 18.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.3% |
| No | 44.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 96.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 91.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 12.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Barcelona win | 72.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.0% | |
| Loss | 13.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-0 | 9.3% |
| 4-0 | 8.4% | |
| 2-0 | 7.8% |
Barcelona vs Getafe stats
Barcelona and Getafe recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Barcelona and Getafe season so far
Barcelona record
- They have won 7 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 4.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Getafe record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Barcelona vs Getafe head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Getafe | Barcelona | La Liga | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-21 | Barcelona | Getafe | La Liga | 3-0 |
| 2025-01-18 | Getafe | Barcelona | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-25 | Barcelona | Getafe | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2024-02-24 | Barcelona | Getafe | La Liga | 4-0 |
| 2023-08-13 | Getafe | Barcelona | La Liga | 0-0 |
| 2023-04-16 | Getafe | Barcelona | La Liga | 0-0 |
| 2023-01-22 | Barcelona | Getafe | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2022-05-15 | Getafe | Barcelona | La Liga | 0-0 |
| 2021-08-29 | Barcelona | Getafe | La Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Barcelona vs Getafe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 88.3%, draw 7.9%, away 3.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.08 | 15.50 | 38.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.08 | 11.00 | 23.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.07 | 12.00 | 26.00 |
| Betano | 1.08 | 10.50 | 30.00 |
| Betfair | 1.10 | 12.00 | 20.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.10 | 11.00 | 24.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.07 | 12.50 | 31.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.08 | 13.05 | 25.23 |
| SBO | 1.08 | 8.87 | 14.92 |
| William Hill | 1.07 | 13.00 | 29.00 |
| pinnacle | 1.06 | 18.46 | 23.66 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
65 snapshots recorded, from .