Sevilla
vs
Barcelona
1 – 3 Full time
| 19′ | Youssouf Fofana | ||
| 22′ | Raphael Dias Belloli | ||
| 52′ | Raphael Dias Belloli | ||
| 59′ | Felix CorreiaChidera Ejuke | ||
| 59′ | Andreas ChristensenGerard Martín | ||
| 68′ | Arouna SanganteJosé Ángel Carmona | ||
| 68′ | Giorgi KochorashviliIsaac Romero | ||
| 69′ | Raphael Dias Belloli | ||
| 76′ | Fermín LópezDaniel Olmo Carvajal | ||
| 77′ | Raphael Dias BelloliKarim Adeyemi | ||
| 78′ | Miguel SierraJon Guridi | ||
| 79′ | Youssouf FofanaAlfonso González Martínez | ||
| 80′ | Lucien Agoumé | ||
| 86′ | PedriMarc Bernal | ||
| 86′ | Anthony GordonGabriel Jesus |
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 24 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 30 | Possession % | 70 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Offsides | 2 |
| 5 | Saves | 2 |
| 205 | Accurate passes | 581 |
Sevilla vs Barcelona overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sevilla vs Barcelona
| Probability | Sevilla | Draw | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.6% | 24.7% | 55.7% |
| Market | 9.6% | 14.3% | 76.1% |
| Final | 12.1% | 16.9% | 71.0% |
| Edge | +10.0% | +10.4% | -20.3% |
Why Barcelona
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 1.15.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sevilla and Barcelona expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.22
Sevilla and Barcelona attack and defence ratings
Sevilla
Barcelona
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sevilla vs Barcelona: result vs prediction
Sevilla 1 – 3 Barcelona
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sevilla vs Barcelona markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barcelona | 71.0% | 1.41 | -20.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.5% | 2.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sevilla | 12.1% |
| Draw | 16.9% | |
| Barcelona | 71.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.1% |
| No | 36.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 29.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 87.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Barcelona win | 34.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 44.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.1% |
Sevilla vs Barcelona stats
Sevilla and Barcelona recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sevilla and Barcelona going into this match
Sevilla record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Barcelona record
- They have won 6 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 4.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Sevilla vs Barcelona head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Barcelona | Sevilla | La Liga | 5-2 |
| 2025-10-05 | Sevilla | Barcelona | La Liga | 4-1 |
| 2025-02-09 | Sevilla | Barcelona | La Liga | 1-4 |
| 2024-10-20 | Barcelona | Sevilla | La Liga | 5-1 |
| 2024-05-26 | Sevilla | Barcelona | La Liga | 1-2 |
| 2023-09-29 | Barcelona | Sevilla | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2023-02-05 | Barcelona | Sevilla | La Liga | 3-0 |
| 2022-09-03 | Sevilla | Barcelona | La Liga | 0-3 |
| 2022-04-03 | Barcelona | Sevilla | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2021-12-21 | Sevilla | Barcelona | La Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sevilla vs Barcelona odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 9.5%, draw 14.6%, away 75.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 9.75 | 6.91 | 1.30 |
| Bet365 | 10.00 | 6.50 | 1.25 |
| BetVictor | 10.00 | 6.50 | 1.25 |
| Betano | 13.50 | 6.20 | 1.27 |
| Betfair | 11.00 | 7.00 | 1.22 |
| Marathonbet | 9.60 | 6.80 | 1.28 |
| Pinnacle | 10.80 | 6.97 | 1.25 |
| SBO | 8.87 | 6.47 | 1.17 |
| William Hill | 9.00 | 6.00 | 1.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .