Levante
vs
Sevilla
Garuda Lions Prediction: Levante
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Levante vs Sevilla overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Levante vs Sevilla
| Probability | Levante | Draw | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.2% | 25.1% | 19.7% |
| Market | 35.0% | 28.5% | 36.5% |
| Final | 40.0% | 27.7% | 32.3% |
| Edge | +20.2% | -3.4% | -16.8% |
Why Levante
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.18.
- The market prices Levante below the model: +20.2 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.84, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Levante vs Sevilla match preview
Levante hosts Sevilla in a La Liga clash on October 12, 2026. Levante has a 41% probability of winning, while Sevilla stands at 31%, and a draw is at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Levante, with a 10% chance of occurring. Both teams have a 62% likelihood of scoring, and there is a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match. Expected goals suggest Levante will generate 1.94, compared to Sevilla's 1.18.
In terms of recent form, Levante has recorded two losses, one draw, and two wins in their last five matches. Conversely, Sevilla has been more consistent, with three wins, one draw, and two losses in the same period. Historically, Levante has dominated their recent encounters, winning both of the last two meetings against Sevilla.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Levante and Sevilla expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.12
Levante and Sevilla attack and defence ratings
Levante
Sevilla
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Levante vs Sevilla markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Levante | 40.0% | 2.50 | +20.2% | 2.84 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Levante | 40.0% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Sevilla | 32.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% |
| No | 37.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Levante win | 34.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 44.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.3% |
Levante vs Sevilla stats
Levante and Sevilla recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Levante and Sevilla season so far
Levante record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Sevilla record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Levante vs Sevilla head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | Levante | Sevilla | La Liga | 2-0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Sevilla | Levante | La Liga | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Levante vs Sevilla odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.1%, draw 28.5%, away 36.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.74 | 3.41 | 2.80 |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.35 | 2.57 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.80 | 3.35 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.67 | 3.32 | 2.72 |
| Pinnacle | 2.84 | 3.35 | 2.61 |
| SBO | 2.58 | 3.04 | 2.41 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.62 |
| pinnacle | 2.71 | 3.33 | 2.71 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
61 snapshots recorded, from .