La Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

Levante vs Sevilla

3 – 3 Full time

13′Robbie Ure
39′Adrián de la Fuente Barquilla
48′Felix Correia
54′Felix Correia
56′Yanis MusuayiPetar Ratkov
56′Víctor GarcíaThiago Cruz Fernandez
57′Iván Romero
63′Andrés Castrín
66′Luis García Plaza
68′Miguel SierraAlfonso González Martínez
68′Robbie UreIsaac Romero
68′Oriol ReyDaniel Requena Sánchez
72′Felix CorreiaJulio Diaz
76′Daniel Requena Sánchez
84′Alfonso González Martínez
88′Giorgi KochorashviliJon Guridi
90′Jeremy ToljanNacho Pérez Gómez
90′Jon Ander OlasagastiPaco Cortés
90′Isaac Romero
90′Adrián de la Fuente Barquilla
90′Isaac Romero
90′Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez
90′Isaac Romero
90′Ifeanyi Ndukwe

Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, ValenciaReferee: Adrian Cordero Vega

Levante 40%
Draw 29%
Sevilla 31%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 18
8 Shots on target 5
56 Possession % 44
5 Corners 2
7 Fouls 17
2 Saves 5
412 Accurate passes 306

Levante vs Sevilla overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Levante vs Sevilla

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLevanteDrawSevilla
Model55.3%25.1%19.6%
Market35.0%29.8%35.3%
Final40.0%28.6%31.4%
Edge+5.1%-1.2%-3.9%

Confidence: High · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Levante

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.18.
  • The market prices Levante below our published probability: +5.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Levante ↓ / Sevilla → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 6% 12% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 6%

Levante and Sevilla expected goals

Levante 1.94
Sevilla 1.18

Total expected goals: 3.12

Levante and Sevilla attack and defence ratings

Levante

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Sevilla

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Levante vs Sevilla: result vs prediction

Levante 3 – 3 Sevilla

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

La Liga

Before and after this match

Levante vs Sevilla markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Levante 40.0% 2.50 +5.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.4% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.1% 1.61 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.4% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.7% 2.24 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Levante40.0%
Draw28.6%
Sevilla31.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.4%
Under 2.537.6%
Both teams to scoreYes62.1%
No37.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.6%
12 (either side)71.4%
X2 (draw or away)60.0%
Handicap -1Levante win34.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss44.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.5%
2-19.8%
2-08.3%

Levante vs Sevilla stats

Levante and Sevilla recent form

newest first
Levante LLDWDL
Sevilla LWWDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Levante and Sevilla going into this match

league record before kick-off

Levante record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Sevilla record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Levante vs Sevilla head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Levante wins 1Draws 7Sevilla wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-23LevanteSevillaLa Liga2-0
2026-01-04SevillaLevanteLa Liga0-3
2022-04-21LevanteSevillaLa Liga2-3
2021-10-24SevillaLevanteLa Liga5-3
2021-04-21LevanteSevillaLa Liga0-1
2020-10-01SevillaLevanteLa Liga1-0
2020-06-15LevanteSevillaLa Liga1-1
2020-01-21SevillaLevanteCopa del Rey3-1
2019-10-20SevillaLevanteLa Liga1-0
2019-01-26SevillaLevanteLa Liga5-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Levante vs Sevilla odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.1%, draw 29.7%, away 35.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.82 3.29 2.80
Bet365 2.70 3.20 2.70
BetVictor 2.70 3.20 2.70
Betano 2.80 3.20 2.65
Betfair 2.70 3.20 2.75
Dafabet 2.75 3.35 2.65
Marathonbet 2.77 3.24 2.76
Pinnacle 2.77 3.23 2.81
SBO 2.65 2.93 2.43
William Hill 2.62 3.10 2.62
pinnacle 2.71 3.33 2.71

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.73 ▲ +0.12
X 3.20 ▼ -0.05
2 2.70 ▼ -0.09

67 snapshots recorded, from .