Villarreal
vs
Levante
3 – 1 Full time
| 13′ | Aïssa Mandi | ||
| 41′ | Ayoze Pérez | ||
| 42′ | Iván Romero | ||
| 45′ | Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro | ||
| 54′ | Alberto Moleiro | ||
| 63′ | Iván RomeroYanis Musuayi | ||
| 63′ | Thiago Cruz FernandezVíctor García | ||
| 63′ | Aïssa MandiIfeanyi Ndukwe | ||
| 67′ | Ilias Akhomach ChakkourGerard Moreno | ||
| 67′ | Ayoze PérezGeorges Mikautadze | ||
| 72′ | Enzo BardeliDaniel Requena Sánchez | ||
| 79′ | Tajon Buchanan | ||
| 79′ | Tajon BuchananNicolas Pépé | ||
| 79′ | Pau NavarroÁlvaro Santiago Mouriño González | ||
| 84′ | Oriol ReyPetar Ratkov | ||
| 86′ | Georges Mikautadze | ||
| 87′ | Pape GueyeCarlos Macià |
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 0 | Saves | 3 |
| 547 | Accurate passes | 301 |
Villarreal vs Levante overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Villarreal vs Levante
| Probability | Villarreal | Draw | Levante |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.4% | 19.3% | 23.4% |
| Market | 63.1% | 20.2% | 16.7% |
| Final | 61.7% | 19.9% | 18.4% |
| Edge | -5.8% | -0.9% | +6.7% |
Why Villarreal
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.70 vs 1.86.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Villarreal and Levante expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.56
Villarreal and Levante attack and defence ratings
Villarreal
Levante
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Villarreal vs Levante: result vs prediction
Villarreal 3 – 1 Levante
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Villarreal vs Levante markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Villarreal | 61.7% | 1.62 | -5.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Villarreal | 61.7% |
| Draw | 19.9% | |
| Levante | 18.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 15.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80.4% |
| No | 19.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Villarreal win | 39.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.9% | |
| Loss | 42.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 6.8% |
| 3-1 | 6.5% | |
| 2-2 | 6.4% |
Villarreal vs Levante stats
Villarreal and Levante recent form
| Villarreal |
WLLLLD |
| Levante |
LDWDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Villarreal and Levante going into this match
Villarreal record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Levante record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Villarreal vs Levante head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Villarreal | Levante | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Villarreal | Levante | La Liga | 5-1 |
| 2026-02-18 | Levante | Villarreal | La Liga | 0-1 |
| 2022-08-03 | Villarreal | Levante | Friendlies Clubs | 3-1 |
| 2022-04-02 | Levante | Villarreal | La Liga | 2-0 |
| 2022-01-03 | Villarreal | Levante | La Liga | 5-0 |
| 2021-07-29 | Villarreal | Levante | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
| 2021-04-18 | Levante | Villarreal | La Liga | 1-5 |
| 2021-02-03 | Levante | Villarreal | Copa del Rey | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Villarreal vs Levante odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 63.1%, draw 20.2%, away 16.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 4.93 | 5.95 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.75 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.60 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 4.70 | 5.70 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.60 | 5.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53 | 4.87 | 5.67 |
| SBO | 1.49 | 4.53 | 5.42 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.40 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .