La Liga · Full time ·Matchday 7

Getafe vs Malaga

1 – 0 Full time

21′Johan Mojica
39′Eneko Jauregi
45′David Larrubia
45′Eneko JauregiAdrian Nino
54′Nemanja Gudelj
58′Francho Serrano Gracia
65′Dakonam Ortega DjenéOrel Mangala
67′Dani LorenzoPablo Martínez Andrés
67′Joaquín MuñozCarlos Ruiz Rubio
68′Ramón Terrats
74′Rafael Rodríguez RuizRamón Enríquez
85′Iván Azón
89′Juan BerrocalJuan Cruz
89′Iván AzónSaba Sazonov
90′Martin SatrianoDavid Cordón Mancha

Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, GetafeReferee: Javier Alberola Rojas

Getafe 46%
Draw 31%
Malaga 23%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 4
45 Possession % 55
5 Corners 9
16 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 1
4 Saves 6
274 Accurate passes 353

Getafe vs Malaga overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Getafe vs Malaga

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGetafeDrawMalaga
Model42.5%32.9%24.6%
Market46.9%30.1%23.1%
Final45.8%30.8%23.5%
Edge-4.3%+2.8%+1.5%

Confidence: Medium

Why Getafe

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.27 vs 0.97.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Getafe ↓ / Malaga → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 1 11% 15% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 13%

Getafe and Malaga expected goals

Getafe 1.27
Malaga 0.97

Total expected goals: 2.24

Getafe and Malaga attack and defence ratings

Getafe

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Malaga

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Getafe vs Malaga: result vs prediction

Getafe 1 – 0 Malaga

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

La Liga

Before and after this match

Getafe vs Malaga markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Getafe 45.8% 2.18 -4.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.4% 1.68 — —
Both teams to score No 51.6% 1.94 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.5% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.5% 1.74 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Getafe45.8%
Draw30.8%
Malaga23.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.6%
Under 2.559.4%
Both teams to scoreYes48.4%
No51.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.5%
12 (either side)69.2%
X2 (draw or away)54.2%
Handicap -1Getafe win21.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss57.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-115.5%
0-012.5%
1-010.7%

Getafe vs Malaga stats

Getafe and Malaga recent form

newest first
Getafe LDDLLW
Malaga LDDLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Getafe and Malaga going into this match

league record before kick-off

Getafe record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Malaga record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Getafe vs Malaga head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Getafe wins 0Draws 4Malaga wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2018-05-19MalagaGetafeLa Liga0-1
2018-01-12GetafeMalagaLa Liga1-0
2016-02-05MalagaGetafeLa Liga3-0
2015-09-18GetafeMalagaLa Liga1-0
2015-02-28MalagaGetafeLa Liga3-2
2014-09-28GetafeMalagaLa Liga1-0
2014-04-26GetafeMalagaLa Liga1-0
2013-12-14MalagaGetafeLa Liga1-0
2013-04-28MalagaGetafeLa Liga2-1
2012-12-01GetafeMalagaLa Liga1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Getafe vs Malaga odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.9%, draw 30.1%, away 23.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.10 3.24 4.36
Bet365 2.00 3.20 4.10
BetVictor 2.00 3.20 4.10
Betano 2.02 3.25 4.05
Betfair 2.05 3.00 4.33
Marathonbet 2.04 3.15 4.25
Pinnacle 2.04 3.14 4.44
SBO 2.02 2.93 3.68
William Hill 2.00 3.00 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.02 ▼ -0.10
X 3.15 ▲ +0.17
2 4.10 ▲ +0.27

14 snapshots recorded, from .