La Liga · Full time ·Matchday 7

Athletic Club vs Alaves

0 – 0 Full time

45′Johaneko Louis-JeanJesus Areso
62′Mikel JauregizarAlex Berenguer
62′Iñaki WilliamsMaroan Sannadi
65′Mariano DíazToni Martínez
66′Abderrahmane RebbachYoussef Enriquez
71′Iñigo Ruiz De Galarreta
75′Robert Navarro MuñozPeio Canales
75′Lucas BoyéAngel Pérez Hidalgo
75′Carlos ProtesoniAntonio Blanco
85′Pablo Ibanez LumbrerasCarles Aleñá
86′Yuri BerchicheNico Serrano
90′Jesus Areso

San Mamés Stadium, BilbaoReferee: Victor Garcia Verdura

Athletic Club 55%
Draw 25%
Alaves 20%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

24 Shots 2
6 Shots on target 0
69 Possession % 31
5 Corners 1
14 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 3
0 Saves 6
559 Accurate passes 208

Athletic Club vs Alaves overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Athletic Club vs Alaves

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAthletic ClubDrawAlaves
Model43.5%28.5%28.0%
Market58.5%24.0%17.5%
Final54.8%25.1%20.1%
Edge-15.0%+4.5%+10.6%

Confidence: High

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Athletic Club ↓ / Alaves → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 13% 7% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 7%

Athletic Club and Alaves expected goals

Athletic Club 1.58
Alaves 1.31

Total expected goals: 2.89

Athletic Club and Alaves attack and defence ratings

Athletic Club

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Alaves

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Athletic Club vs Alaves: result vs prediction

Athletic Club 0 – 0 Alaves

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

La Liga

Before and after this match

Athletic Club vs Alaves markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Athletic Club 54.8% 1.83 -15.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.1% 1.75 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.4% 1.63 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.9% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.5% 1.77 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Athletic Club54.8%
Draw25.1%
Alaves20.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.1%
Under 2.542.9%
Both teams to scoreYes61.4%
No38.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.9%
12 (either side)74.9%
X2 (draw or away)45.2%
Handicap -1Athletic Club win23.9%
Push (exactly one goal)19.6%
Loss56.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
2-19.3%
0-07.3%

Athletic Club vs Alaves stats

Athletic Club and Alaves recent form

newest first
Athletic Club DWWLLL
Alaves LLWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Athletic Club and Alaves going into this match

league record before kick-off

Athletic Club record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Alaves record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Athletic Club vs Alaves head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Athletic Club wins 3Draws 2Alaves wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02AlavesAthletic ClubLa Liga2-4
2025-09-13Athletic ClubAlavesLa Liga0-1
2025-07-22AlavesAthletic ClubFriendlies Clubs1-0
2025-05-11Athletic ClubAlavesLa Liga1-0
2024-12-15AlavesAthletic ClubLa Liga1-1
2024-03-16Athletic ClubAlavesLa Liga2-0
2024-01-16Athletic ClubAlavesCopa del Rey2-0
2023-09-22AlavesAthletic ClubLa Liga0-2
2022-08-06Athletic ClubAlavesFriendlies Clubs1-1
2022-01-09AlavesAthletic ClubLa Liga0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Athletic Club vs Alaves odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 58.5%, draw 24.0%, away 17.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.68 4.11 5.60
Bet365 1.62 4.00 5.25
BetVictor 1.62 4.00 5.50
Betano 1.70 4.05 5.40
Betfair 1.65 3.90 5.50
Marathonbet 1.63 4.05 5.50
Pinnacle 1.64 4.08 5.53
SBO 1.63 3.41 4.55
William Hill 1.65 3.75 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.64 ▼ -0.17
X 4.00 ▲ +0.30
2 5.50 ▲ +0.35

13 snapshots recorded, from .