Espanyol
vs
Elche
1 – 3 Full time
| 6′ | Federico Redondo Solari | ||
| 22′ | Fernando Niño Rodríguez | ||
| 26′ | Fernando Niño Rodríguez | ||
| 29′ | Fernando Niño Rodríguez | ||
| 37′ | Buba SangaréRuben Sanchez Saez | ||
| 45′ | Eduardo Expósito Jaén | ||
| 45′ | Roger HinojoQuilindschy Hartman | ||
| 45′ | Urko GonzalezMarcos Fernández | ||
| 60′ | Gonzalo VillarPedro Bigas | ||
| 61′ | Fernando Niño RodríguezAbiel Alessio Osorio | ||
| 61′ | Álex Calatrava TorradoPere Milla | ||
| 67′ | Bryan ZaragozaTyrhys Dolan | ||
| 67′ | Unai NúñezClemens Riedel | ||
| 72′ | Víctor Chust | ||
| 77′ | Thomas LemarTete Morente | ||
| 77′ | Roy RevivoMatia Barzic | ||
| 78′ | Germán Valera | ||
| 82′ | Clemens Riedel | ||
| 90′ | Lucas Cepeda |
Match stats
| 23 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 66 | Possession % | 34 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 9 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 448 | Accurate passes | 193 |
Espanyol vs Elche overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Espanyol vs Elche
| Probability | Espanyol | Draw | Elche |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.4% | 24.2% | 19.4% |
| Market | 52.8% | 26.4% | 20.9% |
| Final | 53.7% | 25.8% | 20.5% |
| Edge | +3.6% | -2.2% | -1.5% |
Why Espanyol
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.22.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Espanyol below the model: +3.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Espanyol and Elche expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.25
Espanyol and Elche attack and defence ratings
Espanyol
Elche
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Espanyol vs Elche: result vs prediction
Espanyol 1 – 3 Elche
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Espanyol vs Elche markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Espanyol | 53.7% | 1.86 | +3.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Espanyol | 53.7% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Elche | 20.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.9% |
| No | 36.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Espanyol win | 35.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 43.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 8.0% |
Espanyol vs Elche stats
Espanyol and Elche recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Espanyol and Elche going into this match
Espanyol record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Elche record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Espanyol vs Elche head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Elche | Espanyol | La Liga | 2-2 |
| 2025-10-25 | Espanyol | Elche | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-27 | Elche | Espanyol | Segunda División | 2-2 |
| 2023-11-18 | Espanyol | Elche | Segunda División | 2-0 |
| 2023-02-19 | Elche | Espanyol | La Liga | 0-1 |
| 2022-10-23 | Espanyol | Elche | La Liga | 2-2 |
| 2022-01-10 | Espanyol | Elche | La Liga | 1-2 |
| 2021-10-23 | Elche | Espanyol | La Liga | 2-2 |
| 2015-04-06 | Espanyol | Elche | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2014-11-02 | Elche | Espanyol | La Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Espanyol vs Elche odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.6%, draw 26.4%, away 21.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.90 | 3.68 | 4.62 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.87 | 3.65 | 4.65 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 3.62 | 4.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.84 | 3.68 | 4.68 |
| SBO | 1.78 | 3.58 | 4.26 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| unibet_fr | 1.82 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
30 snapshots recorded, from .