La Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Rayo Vallecano
vs
Espanyol
2 – 1 Full time
| 3′ | Álvaro García | ||
| 26′ | Adrià Pedrosa | ||
| 45′ | Unai López | ||
| 45′ | Roger HinojoMarcos Fernández | ||
| 45′ | Rafel BauzàBryan Zaragoza | ||
| 45′ | Gabriel MoscardoEduardo Expósito Jaén | ||
| 54′ | Roberto Fernández Jaén | ||
| 61′ | Mujaid SadickÓscar Valentín | ||
| 61′ | Unai LópezGnangoro Bouare | ||
| 63′ | Marcos Fernández | ||
| 67′ | Georgiy Tsitaishvili | ||
| 70′ | Pathé Ciss | ||
| 74′ | Francisco Javier Hernandez CoarasaÁlex Calatrava Torrado | ||
| 76′ | Georgiy TsitaishviliFrancisco Pérez Martínez | ||
| 76′ | Sergio CamelloAlexandre Zurawski | ||
| 80′ | Gnangoro Bouare | ||
| 84′ | Urko GonzalezPol Lozano | ||
| 84′ | Álvaro GarcíaIvan Balliu | ||
| 90′ | Alexandre Zurawski | ||
| 90′ | Omar El Hilali |
Rayo Vallecano
42%
Draw
28%
Espanyol
30%
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 0 |
| 370 | Accurate passes | 280 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol
| Probability | Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Espanyol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.1% | 28.0% | 25.9% |
| Market | 41.1% | 28.1% | 30.8% |
| Final | 42.4% | 28.1% | 29.6% |
| Edge | +5.0% | -0.1% | -4.9% |
Why Rayo Vallecano
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.26.
- The market prices Rayo Vallecano below the model: +5.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
82%
3+ goals
58%
No goals
7%
Rayo Vallecano and Espanyol expected goals
Rayo Vallecano
1.65
Espanyol
1.26
Total expected goals: 2.91
Rayo Vallecano and Espanyol attack and defence ratings
Rayo Vallecano
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
1.16 +16%
Espanyol
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol: result vs prediction
Rayo Vallecano 2 – 1 Espanyol
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rayo Vallecano | 42.4% | 2.36 | +5.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rayo Vallecano | 42.4% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Espanyol | 29.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% |
| No | 38.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rayo Vallecano win | 26.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 53.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.5% |
Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol stats
Rayo Vallecano and Espanyol recent form
| Rayo Vallecano |
LWLDLL |
| Espanyol |
WDLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rayo Vallecano and Espanyol going into this match
Rayo Vallecano record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Espanyol record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
6Rayo Vallecano wins
0Draws
4Espanyol wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | Rayo Vallecano | Espanyol | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Espanyol | Rayo Vallecano | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-04 | Rayo Vallecano | Espanyol | La Liga | 0-4 |
| 2024-08-31 | Espanyol | Rayo Vallecano | La Liga | 2-1 |
| 2023-05-21 | Rayo Vallecano | Espanyol | La Liga | 1-2 |
| 2022-08-19 | Espanyol | Rayo Vallecano | La Liga | 0-2 |
| 2022-04-21 | Espanyol | Rayo Vallecano | La Liga | 0-1 |
| 2021-12-05 | Rayo Vallecano | Espanyol | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2021-07-24 | Espanyol | Rayo Vallecano | Friendlies Clubs | 0-2 |
| 2021-01-31 | Espanyol | Rayo Vallecano | Segunda División | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.5%, draw 28.1%, away 30.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.45 | 3.90 |
| 1xBet | 2.41 | 3.49 | 3.18 |
| 888Sport | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.35 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.35 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.38 | 3.40 | 3.19 |
| SBO | 2.32 | 3.11 | 2.86 |
| Unibet | 1.86 | 3.55 | 4.10 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| onexbet | 2.10 | 3.62 | 3.79 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.32 ▲ +0.14
X
3.40 ▼ -0.10
2
3.10 ▼ -0.60
32 snapshots recorded, from .