Garuda Lions
Today
La Liga · Full time ·Matchday 6

Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo

0 – 0 Full time

22′Yangel Herrera
52′Yoel Lago
57′Marcos Alonso
61′T. KuboL. Sucic
61′Y. HerreraJ. Gorrotxategi
63′W. SwedbergI. Aspas
63′A. AntanonP. Duran
69′F. JutglaC. Driouech
71′O. OskarssonG. Guedes
71′A. BarrenetxeaA. Marchal
79′Couhaib Driouech
81′Luka Sučić
84′A. NunezJ. Galan
84′J. RuedaJ. Rodriguez
88′B. TurrientesC. Soler

Reale Arena, San SebastianReferee: Victor Garcia Verdura, Spain

Real Sociedad 54%
Draw 25%
Celta Vigo 21%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
51 Possession % 49
11 Corners 3
15 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 1
2 Saves 5
452 Accurate passes 452

Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityReal SociedadDrawCelta Vigo
Model64.8%20.7%14.5%
Market50.9%26.3%22.8%
Final54.4%24.9%20.7%
Edge+13.9%-5.6%-8.3%

Confidence: High

Why Real Sociedad

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.36 vs 1.16.
  • The market prices Real Sociedad below the model: +13.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Real Sociedad ↓ / Celta Vigo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 9% 2 8% 9% 5% 3 7% 8% 4+ 8% 9% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 4%

Real Sociedad and Celta Vigo expected goals

Real Sociedad 2.36
Celta Vigo 1.16

Total expected goals: 3.52

Real Sociedad and Celta Vigo attack and defence ratings

Real Sociedad

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Celta Vigo

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo: result vs prediction

Real Sociedad 0 – 0 Celta Vigo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

La Liga

Before and after this match

Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Real Sociedad 54.4% 1.84 +13.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.4% 1.42 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.3% 1.55 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.3% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Real Sociedad win 44.7% 2.24 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Real Sociedad54.4%
Draw24.9%
Celta Vigo20.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.4%
Under 2.529.6%
Both teams to scoreYes64.3%
No35.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.3%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)45.6%
Handicap -1Real Sociedad win44.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss35.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.4%
1-19.1%
2-08.1%

Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo stats

Real Sociedad and Celta Vigo recent form

newest first
Real Sociedad WLLDLD
Celta Vigo LLDWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Real Sociedad wins 3Draws 2Celta Vigo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-25Real SociedadCelta VigoLa Liga3-1
2025-10-19Celta VigoReal SociedadLa Liga1-1
2025-05-13Real SociedadCelta VigoLa Liga0-1
2024-12-21Celta VigoReal SociedadLa Liga2-0
2024-01-23Celta VigoReal SociedadCopa del Rey1-2
2024-01-20Celta VigoReal SociedadLa Liga0-1
2023-08-19Real SociedadCelta VigoLa Liga1-1
2023-02-18Real SociedadCelta VigoLa Liga1-1
2022-10-16Celta VigoReal SociedadLa Liga1-2
2022-01-08Real SociedadCelta VigoLa Liga1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.9%, draw 26.3%, away 22.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.84 3.60 4.00
1xBet 1.93 3.80 4.26
Bet365 1.83 3.80 4.20
BetVictor 1.83 3.70 4.20
Betano 1.87 3.65 4.15
Betfair 1.87 3.60 4.33
Marathonbet 1.90 3.74 4.20
Pinnacle 1.87 3.78 4.34
SBO 1.92 3.17 3.41
Superbet 1.97 3.60 3.90
Unibet 1.86 3.60 4.10
William Hill 1.85 3.50 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.87 ▼ -0.29
X 3.62 ▲ +0.33
2 4.18 ▲ +0.88

9 snapshots recorded, from .