Real Sociedad
vs
Espanyol
2 – 1 Full time
Real Sociedad vs Espanyol overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Real Sociedad vs Espanyol
| Probability | Real Sociedad | Draw | Espanyol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.5% | 26.3% | 28.2% |
| Market | 50.5% | 25.9% | 23.6% |
| Final | 49.3% | 26.0% | 24.8% |
| Edge | -5.0% | +0.4% | +4.6% |
Why Real Sociedad
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.45.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Real Sociedad and Espanyol expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.24
Real Sociedad and Espanyol attack and defence ratings
Real Sociedad
Espanyol
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Real Sociedad vs Espanyol: result vs prediction
Real Sociedad 2 – 1 Espanyol
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Real Sociedad vs Espanyol markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Sociedad | 49.3% | 2.03 | -5.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Sociedad | 49.3% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Espanyol | 24.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.0% |
| No | 33.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Sociedad win | 26.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 54.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-2 | 7.1% |
Real Sociedad vs Espanyol stats
Real Sociedad and Espanyol recent form
| Real Sociedad |
LLDLDD |
| Espanyol |
LWDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Real Sociedad vs Espanyol head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Espanyol | Real Sociedad | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Real Sociedad | Espanyol | La Liga | 2-2 |
| 2025-02-09 | Real Sociedad | Espanyol | La Liga | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-24 | Espanyol | Real Sociedad | La Liga | 0-1 |
| 2023-02-13 | Espanyol | Real Sociedad | La Liga | 2-3 |
| 2022-09-18 | Real Sociedad | Espanyol | La Liga | 2-1 |
| 2022-04-04 | Real Sociedad | Espanyol | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2021-11-28 | Espanyol | Real Sociedad | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2020-07-02 | Real Sociedad | Espanyol | La Liga | 2-1 |
| 2020-01-22 | Real Sociedad | Espanyol | Copa del Rey | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Real Sociedad vs Espanyol odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.5%, draw 25.9%, away 23.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.95 |
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 3.78 | 4.36 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.65 | 4.05 |
| Betfair | 1.87 | 3.75 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.91 | 3.70 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.89 | 3.72 | 4.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87 | 3.77 | 4.26 |
| SBO | 1.84 | 3.25 | 3.60 |
| Superbet | 1.92 | 3.65 | 4.00 |
| Unibet | 1.87 | 3.65 | 4.00 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .