La Liga · Full time ·Matchday 3

Osasuna vs Getafe

1 – 0 Full time

17′Jorge Herrando
39′J. HerrandoF. Boyomo
45′Djené
45′A. Budimir
46′R. GarciaJ. Dubasin
58′Johan Mojica
60′Enes Ünal
65′Orel Mangala
65′A. GarciaA. R. Alcantara
67′Iker Muñoz
71′I. MunozL. Torro
71′A. OrozR. Garcia
76′FranchoN. Gudelj
77′M. GomezK. Barja
80′Raúl García de Haro
86′M. SatrianoB. Mayoral
90′Kike Barja
90′Sergio Herrera

Estadio El Sadar, PamplonaReferee: Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban, Spain

Osasuna 47%
Draw 31%
Getafe 21%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 1
45 Possession % 55
1 Corners 3
17 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 2
1 Saves 1
299 Accurate passes 375

Osasuna vs Getafe overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Osasuna vs Getafe

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOsasunaDrawGetafe
Model57.5%27.2%15.3%
Market43.8%32.8%23.3%
Final47.3%31.4%21.3%
Edge+13.7%-5.6%-8.0%

Confidence: High

Why Osasuna

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 0.85.
  • The market prices Osasuna below the model: +13.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Osasuna ↓ / Getafe → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 11% 13% 2 11% 10% 3 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 9%

Osasuna and Getafe expected goals

Osasuna 1.71
Getafe 0.85

Total expected goals: 2.56

Osasuna and Getafe attack and defence ratings

Osasuna

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Getafe

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Osasuna vs Getafe: result vs prediction

Osasuna 1 – 0 Getafe

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

La Liga

Before and after this match

Osasuna vs Getafe markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Osasuna 47.3% 2.12 +13.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.8% 1.97 — —
Both teams to score No 50.1% 2.00 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.7% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.5% 2.36 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Osasuna47.3%
Draw31.4%
Getafe21.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.2%
Under 2.550.8%
Both teams to scoreYes49.9%
No50.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.7%
12 (either side)68.6%
X2 (draw or away)52.7%
Handicap -1Osasuna win34.4%
Push (exactly one goal)23.1%
Loss42.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.0%
2-011.4%
1-010.6%

Osasuna vs Getafe stats

Osasuna and Getafe recent form

newest first
Osasuna WDLLLL
Getafe LWWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Osasuna vs Getafe head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Osasuna wins 2Draws 6Getafe wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-23GetafeOsasunaLa Liga1-0
2025-10-03OsasunaGetafeLa Liga2-1
2025-03-16OsasunaGetafeLa Liga1-2
2024-10-05GetafeOsasunaLa Liga1-1
2024-01-21OsasunaGetafeLa Liga3-2
2023-09-17GetafeOsasunaLa Liga3-2
2023-05-28GetafeOsasunaLa Liga2-1
2022-09-18OsasunaGetafeLa Liga0-2
2022-05-11OsasunaGetafeLa Liga1-1
2021-12-19GetafeOsasunaLa Liga1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Osasuna vs Getafe odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.8%, draw 32.8%, away 23.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.18 2.90 3.75
1xBet 2.26 3.00 4.16
Bet365 2.15 2.90 4.10
BetVictor 2.15 2.90 4.00
Betano 2.22 2.92 3.90
Betfair 2.15 2.80 4.33
Dafabet 2.25 2.95 3.90
Marathonbet 2.23 2.95 4.10
Pinnacle 2.24 2.91 4.20
SBO 2.16 2.84 3.76
Superbet 2.20 2.92 4.10
Unibet 2.12 2.95 4.10
William Hill 2.15 2.80 3.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.18 ▲ +0.08
X 2.91 ▼ -0.29
2 4.10 ▲ +0.60

14 snapshots recorded, from .