Celta Vigo
vs
Osasuna
1 – 2 Full time
Celta Vigo vs Osasuna overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Celta Vigo vs Osasuna
| Probability | Celta Vigo | Draw | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.9% | 29.9% | 36.1% |
| Market | 48.1% | 28.8% | 23.2% |
| Final | 44.5% | 29.1% | 26.4% |
| Edge | -14.1% | +1.1% | +13.0% |
Why Celta Vigo
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Celta Vigo and Osasuna expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.75
Celta Vigo and Osasuna attack and defence ratings
Celta Vigo
Osasuna
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Celta Vigo vs Osasuna: result vs prediction
Celta Vigo 1 – 2 Osasuna
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Celta Vigo vs Osasuna markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celta Vigo | 44.5% | 2.25 | -14.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celta Vigo | 44.5% |
| Draw | 29.1% | |
| Osasuna | 26.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.5% |
| No | 40.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Celta Vigo win | 16.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.3% | |
| Loss | 66.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 0-0 | 8.3% |
Celta Vigo vs Osasuna stats
Celta Vigo and Osasuna recent form
| Celta Vigo |
DWDLWW |
| Osasuna |
DLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Celta Vigo vs Osasuna head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | Celta Vigo | Osasuna | La Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-26 | Osasuna | Celta Vigo | La Liga | 2-3 |
| 2025-02-21 | Celta Vigo | Osasuna | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-01 | Osasuna | Celta Vigo | La Liga | 3-2 |
| 2024-02-04 | Osasuna | Celta Vigo | La Liga | 0-3 |
| 2023-08-13 | Celta Vigo | Osasuna | La Liga | 0-2 |
| 2023-03-06 | Osasuna | Celta Vigo | La Liga | 0-0 |
| 2022-11-05 | Celta Vigo | Osasuna | La Liga | 1-2 |
| 2022-01-19 | Celta Vigo | Osasuna | La Liga | 2-0 |
| 2021-08-23 | Osasuna | Celta Vigo | La Liga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Celta Vigo vs Osasuna odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.0%, draw 28.8%, away 23.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.95 |
| 1xBet | 2.06 | 3.44 | 4.16 |
| 888Sport | 1.95 | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.40 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.30 | 4.15 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.30 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.01 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.03 | 3.38 | 4.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97 | 3.35 | 4.46 |
| SBO | 1.97 | 3.08 | 3.74 |
| Superbet | 2.00 | 3.35 | 4.10 |
| Unibet | 1.97 | 3.30 | 4.10 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.25 | 4.00 |
| unibet_nl | 2.00 | 3.55 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
18 snapshots recorded, from .