Valencia
vs
Real Betis
0 – 1 Full time
Valencia vs Real Betis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Valencia vs Real Betis
| Probability | Valencia | Draw | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.8% | 26.5% | 22.7% |
| Market | 33.9% | 29.2% | 36.8% |
| Final | 38.2% | 28.5% | 33.3% |
| Edge | +16.9% | -2.8% | -14.1% |
Why Valencia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.24.
- The market prices Valencia below the model: +16.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Valencia and Real Betis expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.04
Valencia and Real Betis attack and defence ratings
Valencia
Real Betis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Valencia vs Real Betis: result vs prediction
Valencia 0 – 1 Real Betis
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Valencia vs Real Betis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Valencia | 38.2% | 2.62 | +16.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Valencia | 38.2% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| Real Betis | 33.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.4% |
| No | 37.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Valencia win | 30.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 49.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 7.8% |
Valencia vs Real Betis stats
Valencia and Real Betis recent form
| Valencia |
DWWDWL |
| Real Betis |
WWLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Valencia vs Real Betis head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | Real Betis | Valencia | La Liga | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Valencia | Real Betis | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-23 | Real Betis | Valencia | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-23 | Valencia | Real Betis | La Liga | 4-2 |
| 2024-04-20 | Valencia | Real Betis | La Liga | 1-2 |
| 2023-10-01 | Real Betis | Valencia | La Liga | 3-0 |
| 2023-06-04 | Real Betis | Valencia | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2022-11-10 | Valencia | Real Betis | La Liga | 3-0 |
| 2022-05-10 | Valencia | Real Betis | La Liga | 0-3 |
| 2022-04-23 | Real Betis | Valencia | Copa del Rey | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Valencia vs Real Betis odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.0%, draw 29.3%, away 36.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.46 |
| 1xBet | 2.92 | 3.35 | 2.67 |
| 888Sport | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.60 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.25 | 2.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.80 | 3.35 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.62 |
| Pinnacle | 2.93 | 3.30 | 2.61 |
| SBO | 2.72 | 3.09 | 2.56 |
| Superbet | 2.82 | 3.25 | 2.62 |
| Unibet | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.55 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
| codere_it | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.65 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .