Valencia
vs
Celta Vigo
0 – 0 Full time
Valencia vs Celta Vigo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Valencia vs Celta Vigo
| Probability | Valencia | Draw | Celta Vigo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.0% | 22.8% | 13.2% |
| Market | 37.5% | 30.7% | 31.8% |
| Final | 44.1% | 28.8% | 27.1% |
| Edge | +26.5% | -7.9% | -18.5% |
Why Valencia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 1.04.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Valencia below the model: +26.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Valencia and Celta Vigo expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.33
Valencia and Celta Vigo attack and defence ratings
Valencia
Celta Vigo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Valencia vs Celta Vigo: result vs prediction
Valencia 0 – 0 Celta Vigo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Valencia vs Celta Vigo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Valencia | 44.1% | 2.27 | +26.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Valencia win | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Valencia | 44.1% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Celta Vigo | 27.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.1% |
| No | 43.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Valencia win | 45.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 34.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 2-0 | 10.4% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
Valencia vs Celta Vigo stats
Valencia and Celta Vigo recent form
| Valencia |
WWDWLW |
| Celta Vigo |
WDLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Valencia vs Celta Vigo head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Valencia | Celta Vigo | La Liga | 2-3 |
| 2026-01-03 | Celta Vigo | Valencia | La Liga | 4-1 |
| 2025-02-02 | Valencia | Celta Vigo | La Liga | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-23 | Celta Vigo | Valencia | La Liga | 3-1 |
| 2024-05-26 | Celta Vigo | Valencia | La Liga | 2-2 |
| 2023-11-25 | Valencia | Celta Vigo | La Liga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Valencia vs Celta Vigo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.6%, draw 30.6%, away 31.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.28 | 3.20 | 3.15 |
| 1xBet | 2.59 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| 888Sport | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.52 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.20 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.54 | 3.18 | 3.10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.56 | 3.12 | 3.16 |
| SBO | 2.54 | 3.04 | 2.78 |
| Superbet | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.95 |
| Unibet | 2.48 | 3.05 | 3.05 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .