Real Betis
vs
Real Sociedad
1 – 0 Full time
Real Betis vs Real Sociedad overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Real Betis vs Real Sociedad
| Probability | Real Betis | Draw | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.2% | 22.2% | 17.6% |
| Market | 46.1% | 27.7% | 26.2% |
| Final | 49.7% | 26.3% | 24.0% |
| Edge | +14.0% | -5.4% | -8.6% |
Why Real Betis
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.20 vs 1.34.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Real Betis below the model: +14.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Real Betis and Real Sociedad expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.53
Real Betis and Real Sociedad attack and defence ratings
Real Betis
Real Sociedad
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Real Betis vs Real Sociedad: result vs prediction
Real Betis 1 – 0 Real Sociedad
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Real Betis vs Real Sociedad markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Betis | 49.7% | 2.01 | +14.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Betis | 49.7% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Real Sociedad | 24.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.0% |
| No | 34.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Betis win | 37.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 42.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 2-0 | 7.6% |
Real Betis vs Real Sociedad stats
Real Betis and Real Sociedad recent form
| Real Betis |
WLWDWD |
| Real Sociedad |
DLDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Real Betis vs Real Sociedad head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Real Sociedad | Real Betis | La Liga | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-19 | Real Betis | Real Sociedad | La Liga | 3-1 |
| 2025-02-16 | Real Betis | Real Sociedad | La Liga | 3-0 |
| 2024-12-01 | Real Sociedad | Real Betis | La Liga | 2-0 |
| 2024-05-19 | Real Betis | Real Sociedad | La Liga | 0-2 |
| 2023-12-17 | Real Sociedad | Real Betis | La Liga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Real Betis vs Real Sociedad odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.1%, draw 27.7%, away 26.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.08 | 3.35 | 3.45 |
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 3.64 | 3.70 |
| 888Sport | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.45 | 3.65 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.13 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.09 | 3.58 | 3.65 |
| Pinnacle | 2.06 | 3.52 | 3.85 |
| SBO | 2.05 | 3.04 | 3.19 |
| Superbet | 2.07 | 3.55 | 3.65 |
| Unibet | 2.07 | 3.40 | 3.55 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .