Celta Vigo
vs
Athletic Club
0 – 2 Full time
| 20′ | A. Berenguer | ||
| 22′ | R. Navarro | ||
| 46′ | J. RodriguezJ. Rueda | ||
| 46′ | A. FayeY. Lago | ||
| 46′ | I. MoribaM. Roman | ||
| 46′ | H. GonzalezI. Aspas | ||
| 48′ | Yuri Berchiche | ||
| 57′ | W. SwedbergH. Alvarez | ||
| 61′ | Robert Navarro | ||
| 65′ | O. SancetP. Canales | ||
| 65′ | I. Ruiz de GalarretaM. Jauregizar | ||
| 65′ | I. WilliamsG. Guruzeta | ||
| 71′ | Beñat Gerenabarrena | ||
| 74′ | R. NavarroN. Williams | ||
| 86′ | J. AresoJ. Louis-Jean |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 2 |
| 504 | Accurate passes | 426 |
Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club
| Probability | Celta Vigo | Draw | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.6% | 31.0% | 33.4% |
| Market | 39.7% | 29.2% | 31.1% |
| Final | 38.7% | 29.6% | 31.7% |
| Edge | -4.1% | +1.8% | +2.3% |
Why Celta Vigo
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Celta Vigo and Athletic Club expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.65
Celta Vigo and Athletic Club attack and defence ratings
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club: result vs prediction
Celta Vigo 0 – 2 Athletic Club
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celta Vigo | 38.7% | 2.59 | -4.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celta Vigo | 38.7% |
| Draw | 29.6% | |
| Athletic Club | 31.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% |
| No | 43.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Celta Vigo win | 21.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 58.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 9.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.4% |
Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club stats
Celta Vigo and Athletic Club recent form
| Celta Vigo |
LDWDLW |
| Athletic Club |
LLLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Athletic Club | Celta Vigo | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Celta Vigo | Athletic Club | La Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-01-19 | Celta Vigo | Athletic Club | La Liga | 1-2 |
| 2024-09-22 | Athletic Club | Celta Vigo | La Liga | 3-1 |
| 2024-05-15 | Celta Vigo | Athletic Club | La Liga | 2-1 |
| 2023-11-10 | Athletic Club | Celta Vigo | La Liga | 4-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.6%, draw 29.2%, away 31.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.32 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| 1xBet | 2.46 | 3.44 | 3.15 |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 3.20 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.40 | 3.30 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.47 | 3.25 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.42 | 3.38 | 3.10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.44 | 3.31 | 3.11 |
| SBO | 2.41 | 2.93 | 2.68 |
| Unibet | 2.38 | 3.25 | 3.05 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| onexbet | 2.43 | 3.42 | 3.21 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
17 snapshots recorded, from .