Racing Santander
vs
Elche
3 – 2 Full time
Racing Santander vs Elche overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Racing Santander vs Elche
| Probability | Racing Santander | Draw | Elche |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.4% | 18.4% | 12.2% |
| Market | 44.9% | 27.5% | 27.6% |
| Final | 51.1% | 25.2% | 23.8% |
| Edge | +24.5% | -9.1% | -15.4% |
Why Racing Santander
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.60 vs 1.15.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Racing Santander below the model: +24.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Racing Santander and Elche expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.75
Racing Santander and Elche attack and defence ratings
Racing Santander
Elche
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Racing Santander vs Elche: result vs prediction
Racing Santander 3 – 2 Elche
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Racing Santander vs Elche markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Racing Santander | 51.1% | 1.96 | +24.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Racing Santander win | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Racing Santander | 51.1% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Elche | 23.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.0% |
| No | 35.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Racing Santander win | 50.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 30.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.9% |
| 3-1 | 8.1% | |
| 1-1 | 7.8% |
Racing Santander vs Elche stats
Racing Santander and Elche recent form
| Racing Santander |
LDWDWW |
| Elche |
LDDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Racing Santander vs Elche head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-02 | Racing Santander | Elche | Segunda División | 2-0 |
| 2024-12-19 | Elche | Racing Santander | Segunda División | 3-0 |
| 2024-05-04 | Racing Santander | Elche | Segunda División | 3-1 |
| 2023-09-02 | Elche | Racing Santander | Segunda División | 1-1 |
| 2020-07-04 | Racing Santander | Elche | Segunda División | 1-2 |
| 2019-12-01 | Elche | Racing Santander | Segunda División | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Racing Santander vs Elche odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.9%, draw 27.5%, away 27.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.12 | 3.35 | 3.30 |
| 1xBet | 2.22 | 3.54 | 3.56 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.35 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.18 | 3.48 | 3.50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13 | 3.47 | 3.63 |
| SBO | 2.12 | 3.12 | 2.95 |
| Superbet | 2.17 | 3.45 | 3.45 |
| Unibet | 2.17 | 3.25 | 3.45 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .