Rayo Vallecano
vs
Racing Santander
3 – 2 Full time
| -5′ | Jorge de Frutos | ||
| 2′ | Óscar Valentín | ||
| 4′ | S. Canales | ||
| 17′ | A. Ratiu | ||
| 25′ | Yassir Zabiri | ||
| 28′ | P. Garcia | ||
| 35′ | Iñigo Vicente | ||
| 39′ | Sergio Camello | ||
| 43′ | S. Camello | ||
| 47′ | S. Camello | ||
| 55′ | Manu HernandoP. Ramon | ||
| 55′ | F. GonzalezJ. Belocian | ||
| 55′ | M. PratiA. Almeida | ||
| 57′ | O. ValentinG. Bouare | ||
| 57′ | S. CamelloAlemao | ||
| 65′ | J. de FrutosF. Perez | ||
| 66′ | Florian Lejeune | ||
| 74′ | A. GarciaG. Tsitaishvili | ||
| 75′ | A. PedrosaI. Balliu | ||
| 85′ | Fran Pérez | ||
| 90′ | A. MantillaA. Martin | ||
| 90′ | P. GarciaJ. Arana |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 6 |
| 317 | Accurate passes | 334 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander
| Probability | Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Racing Santander |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.0% | 24.7% | 40.3% |
| Market | 47.9% | 26.8% | 25.3% |
| Final | 44.7% | 26.3% | 29.0% |
| Edge | -12.9% | -2.2% | +15.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rayo Vallecano and Racing Santander expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.67
Rayo Vallecano and Racing Santander attack and defence ratings
Rayo Vallecano
Racing Santander
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander: result vs prediction
Rayo Vallecano 3 – 2 Racing Santander
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rayo Vallecano | 44.7% | 2.24 | -12.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rayo Vallecano | 44.7% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Racing Santander | 29.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.3% |
| No | 26.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rayo Vallecano win | 19.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.0% | |
| Loss | 64.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 1-2 | 8.0% | |
| 2-1 | 7.5% |
Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander stats
Rayo Vallecano and Racing Santander recent form
| Rayo Vallecano |
LDLLWW |
| Racing Santander |
WLDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-07-20 | Racing Santander | Rayo Vallecano | Segunda División | 1-2 |
| 2019-09-13 | Rayo Vallecano | Racing Santander | Segunda División | 2-0 |
| 2012-03-03 | Rayo Vallecano | Racing Santander | La Liga | 4-2 |
| 2011-10-01 | Racing Santander | Rayo Vallecano | La Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.7%, draw 27.9%, away 28.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.05 |
| 1xBet | 2.07 | 3.64 | 3.88 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.31 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.04 | 3.58 | 3.82 |
| Pinnacle | 2.02 | 3.59 | 3.91 |
| SBO | 2.23 | 3.09 | 2.80 |
| Superbet | 2.30 | 3.45 | 3.20 |
| Unibet | 2.17 | 3.35 | 3.35 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .